MC Oct 10 by The Pook (4FFFFF!s)

[The Pook]

Say this four times fast with your teeth out!
4 (F@#&%@ing!) Fast Five Furlong Fields

[The Pook]

Prepare yourself for some quick figuring on Saturday Oct 10th. There will be four sprints posted in the five furlong range for your Matching pleasure.

Pook

[raceman5]

track or tracks pook?

Bob

[The Pook]

Not sure yet. Depends what I find. Should be able to find four somewhere.

Pook

[The Pook]

I found a few qualifiers and couldn't choose so I posted six for you to choose from. There is 2 1/2 days to work these with a range of times from 2:00 PM to 9:30 PM Eastern. So plenty of time. Usual rules apply.

Saturday October 10th

Pick up to any
four only
of the following six races to Matchup.

Finger Lakes New York, Race #3 at 2:10 PM Eastern 39314

Delaware Pennsylvania, Race #4 at 2:45 PM Eastern 39315

Zia Park New Mexico, Race #5 at 4:07 PM Eastern 39316

[The Pook]

and/or

Retama Park Texas, Race #3 at 8:39 PM Eastern 39317

Retama Park Texas, Race #5 at 9:33 PM Eastern 39318

Mountaineer West Virginia, Race #8 at 9:34 PM Eastern 39319

[raceman5]

Race 3 at Finger Lakes I will go with 4-8
8 is the speed off a 22.1 and a NTL horse and the 4 can win off a 22.1


Race 4 DEL. WOW!!! can you say speed speed and more speed. I will go with the 7-6. The 7 is the speed of speed 21.2-21.4. The 6 can win off 21.4 46 and is lightly raced. The 4 is also lightly raced and can go 22 45. but we can only use 2 horses.


MTN Race 8. 2 and 7 will be the fav. the 2 taking a big class drop. Tom Brohamer once said you can have those horses at 6/5.
I will go with the 1-5. The 5 will have the lead 22. the 1 could run him down having run off a 22.1. The Hat once said if your confused on the lead horse count the 1's they run at the first call.


Retama Race 3. Will go with the 8 and 4. 8 should take the lead in 21.1 and the 4 maybe running him down.

Bob

[GeorgeC5614]

There are not many speed horses in this race. The 8 is the only true need to lead horse in the race, and the 4 showed a wire to wire on an off track two races back. I am projecting the pace to be a 22.3 46.3. Based on that pace I will eliminate the 2, 3 and 7. The 2 and 3 have shown nothing against this pace, and the 7 looks like after the first layoff he has become a slow horse. I have the 1 and 6 as sustained runners, and I do not think they will be able to catch up, so they are out as well. The 8 will get the early lead, and the 4 will be up close.

My picks for this race are the 8 and 4, but that could change after the scratches or if the weather is bad.

[GeorgeC5614]

The pace setter of this race should be the 7 in about 22 46.1. Based on the pace I have eliminated all of the horses except the 2, 4, 6 and 7. The 2 and the 4 both battled each other for the lead in their last race with the 4 beating the 2 by two lengths. The opening fractions in that race was 4/5's of a second slower than the projected pace here. I believe the race will come down to the 6 and 7 and so those are my picks pending scratches.

[GeorgeC5614]

I am not real familiar with this track, but I will give it a shot. The pace setter in this race should be the 3. Based on the pace from the 2 and 3 I have narrowed my contenders down to the 2, 3, 4 and 7. The 3 broke his maiden over a sloppy track, then came right back and won an allowance race with some blazing fractions. I don't think he can get those fractions again, but should be competitive here. I believe the 2, 3, and 4 will be setting the pace with the 7 sitting right off the leaders. I think the 7 will catch them all late. My picks for this race are the 7 and 4.

[GeorgeC5614]

There is a lot going on in this race :). The 1 and 3 are fast horses, but they both taking a jump in class, and I don't think they will be able to run their race here. The 6 only has one race on the dirt, and didn't do well, also he really hasn't done much at all recently. The 5 is interesting, he seems to run fast, but on off tracks and the turf. On a fast dirt surface he cannot keep up with the other horses in this race. The contenders are the 2, 4, and 7. I feel the 7 will be setting the pace, and even though he is not a contender the 3 will be pushing him. I think the 4 will come late, and take the race. My picks would be 4 and 7.

[The Pook]

Finger Lakes Race 3

It is easy to center on 8 as the speed. I think he will get the lead but at what cost? Bob and George I agree with your call on 8. Any concerns coming from that outside spot running only 5.5. The turn comes relatively fast. Not as bad as 5 furlongs but......

If he is scratched the race is nothing. I think I will wait to see odds but I would be interested in your thoughts on the above.

Pook

[GeorgeC5614]

I can see the 8 getting clear, or at worse the 2 path by the turn. This is the second race off the lay off, and the freshening race was at a higher class. The horse inside of him that could keep him from the rail is the 4, and even that horse on a fast track was 2 lengths back of a 22.1, so the 8 if he runs his race should be clear. This is racing though so anything can happen :cool:

[cigar]

Race 3:
Pace: 22.1 - 46
Contender: 6-8-9
Run: Early - This is a one horse race, however in racing anything can happen. In the event there is a bad break, I will look at a Presser.

Win 8-6

[cigar]

Pace: 21.4 - 46.1

Run: Early

Speed and more Speed

Win: 7-6

[cigar]

Race: R5
Pace:21.4 - 45
Contenders: 1-4-8

Win: 8 - 1

[cigar]

Race 8
Pace: 22.3 45.5
Run: OTE

Win: 2 - 1

[GeorgeC5614]

The 4 is scratched in this race, but I don't think that is going to effect my picks so I will stay with the 6 and 7

[Capcondo]

No scratches at FL
Scratch #4 in race 4 at Delaware (I don't think Delaware is in Ohio!)

[PeteC]

I see this race running early with the 8 taking it. The 8 to win....

[Capcondo]

The 8 and 4 look like the speed here. Based on the start position and the number of times the 8 has been in the lead at the first call, I think the 8 will go WTW.

The 8 is my choice to win.

[The Pook]

Oops...Delaware Racetrack is in Pennsylvania. Sorry. Corrected it. I'm Canadian, I don't know all the details about down there.


Pook

[mowens33]

Delaware Park--4
21.6--45.4--1:05.4
1. S no form—out
2. EP—out
3. E no form—needs lead—out
4. Scratch
5. E needs lead—out
6. EP—contender—needs to press
7. E—contender—pace setter--wire to wire?
8. E—needs lead—out
9. S—no form—out
My picks: 6 and 7

[mowens33]

Finger Lakes---3
22.4--46.0--1:06
1. SP—not in time—out
2. EP—out
3. S no form—out
4. EP contender
5. EP contender--out
6. EP contender —needs to press
7. SP no form—out
8. E—contender--pace setter--out
9. EP—out
My picks: 4 and 6

[The Pook]

Finger Lakes 3

The 8 is lone E. Got to go with him alone.

8

[The Pook]

Delaware 4

3 and 7 are Early in the 22 range. I think the 7 should smoke 3. Of OTE's I got 6 and 5 of which I will go with 6 which looks strongest to me.

6 and 7

[KBROD]

mount r8...# 2 win.....should get a sub 45 to run at...saves ground..closes on the field full of early

[KBROD]

zia race 5. #1 win...only horse to be running close to pars...nice work here..another here with a ground saving off the pace run

[Capcondo]

The 8 is early. All those times he got the lead were in maiden races. The 2 ran a lot of noise in between but the 1st and last race in the form show he can fight against a fast 1st quarter. The 2 is in tandem with the 4 who can close.

The 2 is my choice to win the race.

[The Pook]

Multiple winners over the six races! Congratulations to all. Will put up the details when I do the standings update. Here are the results.

Pook

[The Pook]

And...