MC November 28 by PeteC

[The Pook]

Pete you get the final kick at the cat for this year.

[PeteC]

Thanks Pook, one last shot for a big price in the contest...Let's take a look at the 4th from Hawthorne. I may find another one for Sunday.

[raceman5]

I will use the tandem race on nov 11 r3 and take

8-1

[cigar]

pace: 48 - 113.3
contenders: 1-3-5-8
win 3-5

ote/e why? if the 1-3-8 fail to run their race, watch out RACEMAN, I have a shot - lol

PETE please put up another race for Sunday. RACEMAN deserve to make it into the 50% min race requirement.

[PeteC]

You got it...Here is one for Sunday....

[The Pook]

Pete thanks for the races and especially for the second one. It gives Raceman the opportunity just by entering to be The Champ for 2015. None of us would want to see him blow it on a technicality.

Race 4 Hawthorne

No for sure earlies that I can see. I guess I would call the 1 and 6 as early and being out front setting a pace around 24/48/114. They both look suspect from their last races. They run their best from the front so I think it will go OTE.
Got it down to 3,5,8 as the best of the rest. They all have good power moves in their last. They haven't met in any tandems. Hmmmmmmm. Have to eliminate one of them. This is tough. Toss the 8 because because the others positioning looks like they move first and therefore will be in front of the 8 and hopefully stay there.

3,5

Pook

[Capcondo]

The horse I went right to is the early sprinter; the 5. Normally, horses that route well don't look like this. But, the 5 is 1 for 2 at the distance. He has a 3rd in his only race on an off-track and the track was very sloppy yesterday. If I take his last race when he was fighting and add 2/5 to the final time and 6 2/5 to that time to get a 6 furlong time I get 1:11.4 which is quite a bit faster than these other horses.

His final fraction in the last race when he fought was 19 1/5 which is pretty fast given the first quarter fighting time. In one race where he got loose at AP, he ran 18 1/5 in the last furlong and a half.

The 5 is my choice to win the race.

Tim

[The Pook]

So I read Tims post and he's talking about 5 as the early sprinter. The 5 I'm looking at is not a sprinter and not early. What the????? I just dissected Hawthornes Race 4 from Friday!! Cancel my post above. Sorry. Standby.

Pook

[The Pook]

I work in RDSS and sometimes I have to restart it 5 times or more to register the current date. Don't know whether it is RDSS or Windows that causes this. Just spent 20 minutes on the wrong race and came up with the same selections as Cigar in todays race!!

Pook

[The Pook]

Just for fun since I worked the race from yesterday I checked the results to see how I would have fared. I was way off. Had the right idea in the 1 and 6 being early. They were both in front with the 6 wiring by multiple lengths in 24/48/114. Exact on the fractions. Wrong on E/OTE. E/OTE! E/OTE! E/OTE! It is hard to be on the right side of that question often enough. Luckily I didn't play Hawthorne yesterday nor would I with the off track. I will play today for the contest regardless.

Pook

[The Pook]

Race 4 Hawthorne

Okay right race this time. E/OTE? E/OTE? There are two earlies. 1 and 5. The 5 will lead relegating the 1 to OTE which he can also do. The 5 as Tim says is the guy. Fast and a fighter. And could be disregarded if not for the unseen performance in routes (1 for 2). Can he be caught? Sure. Who?....24/48/114 projected.

Got it to 1,3,8 OTE. 1 was bothered by early horses last race which even though he has run from off they were on turf. Up front is his most comfortable and he will be compromised again this time by the 5. Toss the 1. The 3 handily beat the 8 last tandem they were in. Toss the 8. Leaves 3 OTE.

E/OTE? E/OTE?. I agree with the Capcondo man in that this will run E. But I will also go with the top OTE #3. Hence after all this work I end up with the same numbers from yesterday and Cigars two choices again. Lets hope it works out today.

3,5

Pook

[PeteC]

Pook and Cigar, no problem at all. I just checked the standings post and saw that he needs another race. My apologies since I hadn't been looking there regularly given my performance :(

Raceman, you're performance has been AWESOME and it would be a shame not to have a shot at the 50% cutoff. I was happy to put up a race for Sunday.

Have a good day guys!

[PeteC]

Good morning guys. Tim and Pook you spotted just what I did. I see the 5 on the lead with the 1 and 3 positioned ahead of the rest of the pack. Looking at the sprint times of the 5, plus the fighting, I will take the 5 to go all the way. No routes showing, but as you said Pook, it shows a 1 for 2 record at the distance.

If 5 can't hold on the 1 is the horse to beat to me, but for the contest I will only take the 5.

[PeteC]

Scratch #2

[Bill V.]

Hi guys I looked at the race too

Here is my thinking
using RDSS into one of the old programs Entropy
( dads computer ) :)

GS
Bill

39445

[mowens33]

Sorry Gent's the wife had other plains for me today!

Raceman, when it comes to this contest you are by far the Man!!

Sorry I mean the Raceman!!!

Exceptional Handicapping using the Matchup!!!!

Mike

[PeteC]

The 4 takes it.....

[The Pook]

Race 9 Prx

6 to lead, compromises 1A and 4, and then gives it up to an OTE. 1,2,2X,3,5,7,8 are the OTE's. 7 has strongest power line and a good power move.

7

Pook

[PeteC]

Scratch #1A

[raceman5]

Thanks guys it has been fun. As far as this race goes going to go with the tandem race on Sept 26.

2-6

[cigar]

pace: 115.2

Contenders: 2x - 6 - 7

win: 2x - 6

[PeteC]

Pook tabs the winner, the 7....