Contenders

[rmath]

I recently did a study on contender selection.
I used a set of guidelines suggested to me from two of my friends.
They both said that they were having very good results using these ratings to find the main contenders in a race.

In 360 races using Profit Line and Prime Power ratings of 5 or lower I had 335 wins .93 and 297 exactas .825 in the contenders.

This test was only to find the main horses for win.
This is a very simple and easy way to get a very high percentage of win and place horses. I ran these contenders thru RDSS and looked at the RX3 rankings and was very pleased with the results of the top 4 RX3 horses.

The races that I used were from several tracks and I used the same guidelines that I esed for the test on CSR.

I hope this is a help to anyone who is having trouble finding the main contenders in a race.
Richard
rmath

[dogkatcher]

Hi rmath, in regards to your research, is the Prime Power figure your referring to a Bris number, or is it derived from RDSS?

There is a 1-5 ranking below the Profit Line number shown, but I cannot find a reference to what it may represent......so far, lol.

Thanks for any enlightenment.

John

[Bill V.]

Hello Richard

Here is what I have

Study = 1 month all races all tracks all race types , distance, surfaces 10/13/17 to 11/18/17

Total number of horses = 3469

Profit Line Top 5 =2032 Not in top 5 = 1437
Of the 1437 horses who were PL 6 or higher
only 39 won


Same study sample 3469 horses

RX3 Top 4 = 1862 Not top 4 = 1507

Total number of horses = 3469
Of those 1507 who were RX3 5 or higher
only 45 won

[Ted Craven]

Hi rmath, in regards to your research, is the Prime Power figure your referring to a Bris number, or is it derived from RDSS?

There is a 1-5 ranking below the Profit Line number shown, but I cannot find a reference to what it may represent......so far, lol.

Thanks for any enlightenment.

John

Hi John,

The numbers in the ProfitLine column on the Rx screen and Entries screen are ... ProfitLine ranks :) from TwinSpires. Per the Documentation: http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10574

BRIS Prime Power is not derived from RDSS. It is available from BRIS or TwinSpires, but is not retrieved automatically like ProfitLine is. If it were, I would make it retrievable by RDSS for the PowerNumber 'wildcard' slot in Rx. Hopefully soon, folks can enter it manually if they like - for an 'external' PowerNumber.

Hope that helps!

Ted

[dogkatcher]

Hi Ted,
I apologize for the more or less double post on the Prime Power question, I could not find my original post. I still have one question unanswered. When having an individual horse pp's open, we see this column:
APV
CR
CSR
PL
(blank ????) 1 thru 5 are indicated which correlate to ????

I sometimes overlook things....like winners.
All the Best,
John

[Ted Craven]

John, that number you're referring to is simply a mistake which should have disappeared long ago (the caption disappeared, but somehow the number remained :(). It was an early experiment at what became CR+

CR+ appears to be a superior readout. I have fixed that display and this 'number with no name' no longer appears!

Thanks for pointing it out.

Ted

[dogkatcher]

Thanks Ted, perhaps I missed you commenting on that previously.