Del Mar 6 Furlongs

[Houndog]

Del Mar Track Profile 6 Furlongs

[Houndog]

Track Profile 6.5 Furlongs

[Houndog]

Del Mar 7 Furlongs

[Houndog]

Del Mar 1 Mile

[Houndog]

Del Mar 8.5

[Houndog]

Del Mar 8 Furlongs Turf

[Houndog]

Del Mar 8.5 Turf

[Houndog]

Del Mar 9 Turf

[RAMON201]

Houndog thanks for posting this. I'll print it for reference.

[gl45]

Houndog,
on your track profile spreadsheet, do you keep any running statistical average or median of the times and bls at 1c and 2c?
Pino

[Houndog]

Houndog thanks for posting this. I'll print it for reference.

Ramon, no problem. These are raw and not adjusted in any way. If you want the spreadsheet I can e-mail it to you. It has tabs for the most common distances. If you are familiar with Excel you can make any changes that you want.

[Houndog]

Houndog,
on your track profile spreadsheet, do you keep any running statistical average or median of the times and bls at 1c and 2c?
Pino

Although I don't it could easily be done in Excel. Although you don't see it in the screenshots I keep a running Average of Percent Median and Percent Early. If you have Excel I could e-mail you the spreadsheet which covers the most common distances.

[jms62]

Dog... Great work... Thanks so much for sharing..

[Houndog]

I like to keep most of my calculations to the side and not print them out. This reflects the running averages for Percent Median and Percent Early for 6 furlong races. I just set the print area to what I thought was important. It would be easy enough to print out the sheet and write down these averages somewhere on the printed sheet. A person could adapt this sheet to whatever they felt was most important. What you see here is not set to print but it is easy enough to refer to.

[Forego]

thank you Houndog. very generous of you to share this data.

[shoeless]

Houndog,THANKS FOR EVERYTHING

[gl45]

Houndog,
I would assume that your track profile is Winners Profile. Am I correct? How do you use your data in handicapping an upcoming race. Is the data usefull for paceline selection?
Pino

[RichieP]

Sharp work Dog. Thanx for sharing this. You didn't have to man.

Very cool
Richie:)

[Houndog]

Houndog,
I would assume that your track profile is Winners Profile. Am I correct? How do you use your data in handicapping an upcoming race. Is the data usefull for paceline selection?
Pino

Yes, this is a Winners Profile. I constructed this worksheet along the guidelines put forth by Tom Brohamer in his book MPH. A track profile can answer just as the book says.

1) Where must a typical Winner be positioned in the first call of the race.
2) Where must a typical Winner be positioned at the second call of the race.
3) What running style is most effective.This is a visual ESP designation that I gauged by beaten lengths in various parts of the race.
4) Establishing Energy parameters for Percent Early or Percent Median (I included both) for winners. As Tom Brohamer pointed out this concept is effective in selecting and seperating contenders, and eliminating non-contenders who do not fit the energy profiles.

The spreadsheet just calculates raw and is not adjusted. I would not try to compare these readouts to those you have in Energy after adjustments. The ENGEN in Energy or Selector can also be used in constructing a track profile. If you use these other programs your read-outs may differ from those used in the spreadsheet. My calculations are based on what Tom Brohamer gave out in MPH, so they are more velocity based. Regardless of what program you use the concept remains the same. We are trying to get a handle on where our winners are coming from position wise and typical Energy Expenditures by track and distance.

I really don't think you can use this to pick paclines. It would be more useful in establishing ranges where your winners are coming from. Profiles should be used as a supplementary factor in your handicapping as it does not stand alone.

[Houndog]

For example just one wire to wire winner at Del Mar at 6 furlongs in 13 races thus far. It does show most winners to be within striking position at the second call however.

[richrosa]

Greetings All,

Below is a track profile report from HandicappingOS at 6 Furlongs only. It bears a lot of explanation, because it automatically tracks so much, but I'll explain the key points.

The E/L Frequency graph denotes where the E/L firgure for the winners chosen paceline lies. There are aggregated into groups and reported on in the graph. '

While the sample size is small one can tell that horses that have run at +10 thru +20 their last time out are tending to have an advantage. If that is tied to the report above that shows Running Lines, one could see that E, EP horses are tending to have an advantage over their later counterparts.

The balance of the report shows mostly the winners rankings in other categories from pacelines choses or stats available for that entry.

I can provide more clarity if requested, or even a full sprint profile for DMR which will have more data.

Regards,
Richard Rosa

[Forego]

looking at your profiles the 6 f races are running anything but early for the most part while both the 7f and 8f have a very early profile.

interesting and maybe a part of the reason for the good prices there.