Straight talk from " The Hat" - "Secret" to upping WIN % by 10 points

[RichieP]

First off I have run this by Jim and have his ok to post this thread.

Ok a little backround is needed first.

I have been learning the matchup from Jim for appx 5 months. Learning it from the CREATOR only. I will say there are 2 key things that MUST be done to have ANY chance to actually become a successful " Matcher".

1) Completely IGNORE trainer/jockey/class/layoffs/trackbias. PERIOD.

2) MUST use the horse's ENTIRE past performances shown REGARDLESS of how long ago some of the pacelines might be. This enables us to:
a) match lines and overcome any track variant and shipper/ track to track issues.
b) identify strongly WINNING running styles and the POSITION at the FIRST call a horse can WIN from.

I posted the above because even doing this I was stuck in a win % range around 25-28% betting 1 horse for over 2 months. Jim kept telling me I should be MUCH higher. He was being totally sincere man. He would keep doing races with me on the phone. He would tell me "something is holding you back Rich. We will find it".

10 days ago to be EXACT he found it and laid it out for me STERNLY. Very much a talking to for sure. NO nice-nice talk whatsoever.

This is EXACTLY what he told me. EXACTLY word for word.

1) " Rich I need you to HIDE the morning line odds when you work a race, I do NOT want you to see them. You have been a value better for a decade and that **** is ingrained in you whether or not you realize it. I have to break you of that and hiding the morning line is how to do it. When I go to the track and use the Form I NEVER see the ml. JUST the HORSE Rich. NOTHING else. Trust me on this ok?"

- since then I HIDE the ml odds on my pp's and for the last 10 days have NO clue on the ml of the horse's. Just matching HORSES with NO expectation of potential payoff.

2) " Rich I want you to ONLY bet races where you have the field narrowed to ONE horse you KNOW is going to win. What I mean is that even if the horse doesn't win you KNOW that was the horse and you would bet him again. This also keeps you from going back and second guessing yourself after a losing race. This is VITAL to matching because INTUITION is a HUGE part of matching MY way and there is no room for second guessing here".

Jim continues - "So when you come to a race and you have the race down to 2 horses and can not DEFINITIVELY say that one will beat the other you MUST - PASS THE RACE. I only want you betting races where you have the field narrowed to ONE horse Rich. Leave the others alone and FOCUS on these races. SPOT PLAY them only."

I am betting at 3/2 odds and higher. No exotics of ANY kind for ME. Guys like Charlie and Pino are doing good with the exotics which is terrific.

Jim also said that for TWO horse bettors narrowing a field to 2 is GREAT as the win bets are self evident. When the TWO horse bettor reduces to three then the " guessing" on whom to play rears its head again and he suggests PASSING is something to consider strongly.

In 10 days the change in my play and % is fantastic man. I am a totally different and better Matcher. Read the thread topic again. I am being dead serious in what I wrote ok? DEAD SERIOUS.

I honestly do not know how Jim sees things and knows what will help but he does. He also gives of his time in a big way.

I post this hoping it will help someone the way it helped me. Just trying to pass along some of Jim's teachings to me ok?

all the best and remember
" It's just a dang horse race" - Jim " The Hat" Bradshaw

stay cool
Richie:)

[xtb]

Richie, is 2b a hard and fast rule? Are running styles only to be determined from wins? Thanks.

[RichieP]

Richie, is 2b a hard and fast rule? Are running styles only to be determined from wins? Thanks.

Xtb,

Running styles are taken from winning races or races where the horse ran it's best.

Here is a screenshot of a winner last night at Mnr. His style is Sustained/Presser off the last 2 5.5f races which is today's distance.

Welcome to the board!
Richie

[xtb]

Thanks Richie!

[Jonathan Steele]

Thanks much for relaying the info, Richie!

Jon :D

[RichieP]

I got a nice email asking if the whole post was "needed" to Match horses.

NO. So for clarity:

These 2 things ARE required to work the Matchup Jim's way.

[RichieP]

This part was Jim's instruction for ME after seeing MY play and working of races. It is NOT essential or required to match Jim's way.

IF someone is SERIOUS about learning the Matchup and HAS been value betting ( 1 or 2 horses) for a long period of time the way I was this IS something that you should at least seriously CONSIDER.

Rich

[Rxlawyer]

Welcome Xtb ! Gary

[xtb]

Thanks Gary, this looks like a great site with a lot of very sharp members!

[admin]

Thank You Xtb
welcome to our group

GS
Bill

[emilio840]

Hi Jim

(1) I Got two questions? I play Woodbine race track, do you have any advice on how to deal with the TURF HORSES running on the Polly track.


(2) Can you clarify the running styles. I noticed that some people that identify the running styles on Friday night pick-3 were not all the same EXCEPT the EARLY HORSE. Everyone all agreed on the Early.

emilio

[RichieP]

2) " Rich I want you to ONLY bet races where you have the field narrowed to ONE horse you KNOW is going to win. What I mean is that even if the horse doesn't win you KNOW that was the horse and you would bet him again. This also keeps you from going back and second guessing yourself after a losing race. This is VITAL to matching because INTUITION is a HUGE part of matching MY way and there is no room for second guessing here".

Jim continues - "So when you come to a race and you have the race down to 2 horses and can not DEFINITIVELY say that one will beat the other you MUST - PASS THE RACE. I only want you betting races where you have the field narrowed to ONE horse Rich. Leave the others alone and FOCUS on these races. SPOT PLAY them only."
I am betting at 3/2 odds and higher.Richie:)


I was reading some of the older threads here and came upon this one. This thread is five MONTHS old and a lot of learning,hard work,frustration and ENJOYMENT has occured.

If you recall I came clean and said that I was averaging about 25-28% wins at the start and Jim wanted to figure out both
1) Why
2) How to increase it.

He spent a LOT of time helping me and taught me about the power of the SPOT PLAY which I have passed along.

He has set LOFTY goals for me from the start. So high that I kept asking him to STOP doing that because the pressure was hard enough as it was. I was being DEAD SERIOUS.

He never let up and kept driving his message home to me. He wants 50% winners betting ONE horse. He NEVER changes or relaxes this message.While I am NOT there yet I can actually "see" this as attainable where 3 months ago it was an impossibility. This is how POWERFUL the SPOT PLAY truly is.

Finally the realization dawned on me that the ONLY way to have a CHANCE to attain this goal would be to abandon ALL races except for those I saw as SPOT PLAYS.

So that is what I have done. I have changed my focus from that of a "General practitioner" to that of a "Specialist".

This is an account I have at brisbet set up for ONE spot play. I will show this one because it IS the highest win %. This is for the last 5 days and of those days 2 I worked no races whatsoever. I also have learned that hard FOCUSED work also REQUIRES at least TWO days of REST a week man.

At least that is how it is for ME.

So here are 3 days worth of ONE of my spot plays. 11 wagers over 3 days looking at minimum FIVE tracks a day. Betting ONE horse per race.

1) Game Plan - knowing where I am going and HOW to get there
2) Patience
3) Pattern recognition
4) Positive reinforcement by NOT looking back on lost races
5) Working races alone in a quiet meditative environment ( soft music)
6) Belief in SELF

Happy birthday Jim.

Richie

[The Yank]

I have also experienced the FRUSTRATION of not nearly fully getting it. There are many races that go by where I am clueless because (for me), the Match-Up puzzle pieces don't all fit neatly together - there appear to be contradicatory indications which just confuse me. I've also had strings of coming in second by trying to play most races.

Perhaps, the easist Spot Play is the Lone Early and even this is NOT EASY- will some other horse stop mine from taking the lead? will some other horse catch mine at the wire? Is my horse really lone early because there is another horse that is an early presser (maybe I should have classified this horse as early too)? Is my lone early really too slow for today's race?

Richie- I don't know if your 6/11 spot play is Lone Early, but I'm guessing it is?

Having said all this, I like the idea of only pulling the trigger when you are quite confident of the outcome. At the end of each race I work, I rate my level of confidence and it is definitely true that I do better at the ones I rate higher.

I'd really love to be inside the "Hat's Head" when he works a race to know how the master is thinking- what is he doing exactly?????

...that's it for my rambling. Thanks for all the great work you are doing...

the "Yank"

[RichieP]

I was reading some of the older threads here and came upon this one. This thread is five MONTHS old and a lot of learning,hard work,frustration and ENJOYMENT has occured.

If you recall I came clean and said that I was averaging about 25-28% wins at the start and Jim wanted to figure out both
1) Why
2) How to increase it.

He spent a LOT of time helping me and taught me about the power of the SPOT PLAY which I have passed along.

He has set LOFTY goals for me from the start. So high that I kept asking him to STOP doing that because the pressure was hard enough as it was. I was being DEAD SERIOUS.

He never let up and kept driving his message home to me. He wants 50% winners betting ONE horse. He NEVER changes or relaxes this message.While I am NOT there yet I can actually "see" this as attainable where 3 months ago it was an impossibility. This is how POWERFUL the SPOT PLAY truly is.

Finally the realization dawned on me that the ONLY way to have a CHANCE to attain this goal would be to abandon ALL races except for those I saw as SPOT PLAYS.

So that is what I have done. I have changed my focus from that of a "General practitioner" to that of a "Specialist".

This is an account I have at brisbet set up for ONE spot play. I will show this one because it IS the highest win %. This is for the last 5 days and of those days 2 I worked no races whatsoever. I also have learned that hard FOCUSED work also REQUIRES at least TWO days of REST a week man.

At least that is how it is for ME.

So here are 3 days worth of ONE of my spot plays. 11 wagers over 3 days looking at minimum FIVE tracks a day. Betting ONE horse per race.

1) Game Plan - knowing where I am going and HOW to get there
2) Patience
3) Pattern recognition
4) Positive reinforcement by NOT looking back on lost races
5) Working races alone in a quiet meditative environment ( soft music)
6) Belief in SELF

Happy birthday Jim.

Richie

This is the tally so far for the month on my SPOT PLAY shown in the previous post.

Now what I found out was that in ONE race I bet where I had to bet twice in one race (because the amount shown on Brisbet didnt match what I wanted to bet on the ONE horse) they counted that race as TWO in my total. So my actual % is actually a tad higher than what is shown.

I am fighting as hard as I can to acheive the 50% win rate for a MONTH. That is my goal.

I have NOT done it yet but with hard work it certainly seems within reach.

Richie

[RichieP]

Missed 4-5 days this month due to family/"not into it" stuff but the eye is still on the prize - 50% winners for a month.

My betting records straight from Brisbet for all win bets from 10/1 through yesterday.

ALL wagers on other than early horses.

Fairly decent profit for 3-4 days work I think

Methodical application of Jim's teaching and PATIENCE to wait til the race that has run before shows itself TODAY

[jms62]

Good work. You deserve it for all that you continue to give.

[VoodooFan]

He NEVER LET UP and kept driving his message home to me.
Happy birthday Jim.
Richie

Bravo to Professor Bradshaw. This ingenious invention is true State of the
Art 21st century technology , more advanced than the " I-Phone " in
education and human development toward conquering Parimutal Investment :
( Invention = RichieP ).

When you are not surprised at $14 to $50 plus winners , the system The Hat
presents works. And to think , the new MatchUp Guy is just past beginner,
.....WOW!!...I am humbled toward disbelief to wonder what is to come next.

So Happy birthday Mr. Bradshaw , everytime RichieP presents " HAT SCAN "
perspective from you on mastering the lessons , I feel " I " got a new present, like it's MY birthday.

It is almost impossible to do the MatchUp and not "feel" like a Hat is on your
head. Because we want to see what The HAT see's.

VoodooFan

[VoodooFan]

I have been learning the matchup from Jim for appx 5 months. Learning it from the CREATOR only. I will say there are 2 key things that MUST be done to have ANY chance to actually become a successful " Matcher".

1) Completely IGNORE trainer/jockey/class/layoffs/trackbias. PERIOD.

2) MUST use the horse's ENTIRE past performances shown REGARDLESS of how long ago some of the pacelines might be. This enables us to:
a) match lines and overcome any track variant and shipper/ track to track issues.
b) identify strongly WINNING running styles and the POSITION at the FIRST call a horse can WIN from.

Richie:)

My sin is layoff patterns and sometimes track bias . The " Power Line " and
" Power Move " should remove any of that residual virus lying around.

VoodooFan