Lt1
10-26-2024, 12:14 PM
During the last Zoom meeting I mentioned that when Profit Line & Bris Prime Power had the same top 3 horse[ regardless of rank] one of those 3 won 84 of 100 races. Since Ted expressed interest in this I decided to run another 100 race test, My settings were 100% DTV with the rest being the same as being used by testers of this new approach. I did not limit myself to the best of the last 3 comparable surface and dist[though in many cases this was the line selected]. My intent was to give each contender its' best chance to win[which I always do]and as pointed out by Brohamer at Sar and Jorgesen and Palermo at the 93 Vegas seminar. The tracks used were Parx, MTH,LRL,DEL, TDN & MVR. No 2 yr old races or mdn races with FTS were included. I did all other mdn races all the way up to GI races. The avg field size was 7. Here are the results
100 races
Wins by one of the top 3 81
So in the last 200 races I have surveyed 165 races[82.5%] were won by one of the top 3 horses. To me this is a very effective stat which maybe of use in the new approach. Hopefully that will be the case.
Tim
100 races
Wins by one of the top 3 81
So in the last 200 races I have surveyed 165 races[82.5%] were won by one of the top 3 horses. To me this is a very effective stat which maybe of use in the new approach. Hopefully that will be the case.
Tim