BPP & PL Have Same Top 3 Horses

[Lt1]

On one of the training vids I pointed out that when BPP & PL had the same top3 picks[regardless of the order] that 1 would win between 80-85% of the time. That was based on when top class horses were running. Now that we have entered the winter season, when many low class races abound, I decided to do a quick 100 race survey to see what came up. The trks used were Parx, MVR,LRL,& GP. Here are the results
RACES Wins Places Shows Outs
100 75 17 4 4
So as you can see the w& fell however take note that one of these 3 won or placed 92 times out of the 100 races. Still a pretty nice %. In fact when this situation arises I tend to make 1 of them my key horse for the race.
Tim

[stormbringer]

very good to know I'm gonna check so of mine to see what I come with.

thanks Lt you do so much thank you!

[Lt1]

Anytime Stormy.
Tim

[shoeless]

Thanks Tim

Jeff

[Lt1]

You are welcome Jeff,
Tim

[DELMARGRANT]

Great work Tim! Thanks so much! What do you do in like Parx 2nd race today(01/14/26)? I had the exacta it paid $ 115 for 2 dollars but the 4 was 5th in pl than no BPP number but was top on my BLBL screen. The second place horse the 5 was 2nd in PL and 3 rd in BP. Thanks

[dadams6357]

Tim
Thanks for the interesting research that you do.
Don

[Lt1]

Anytime Don.
Tim

[Lt1]

Grant you need to trust your work. Do nor worry what I or anyone else does
Tim

[kahunab]

Great Observation and Great Study response.

Dick

[Lt1]

Thanks Dick.
Tim

[MJS6916]

On one of the training vids I pointed out that when BPP & PL had the same top3 picks[regardless of the order] that 1 would win between 80-85% of the time. That was based on when top class horses were running. Now that we have entered the winter season, when many low class races abound, I decided to do a quick 100 race survey to see what came up. The trks used were Parx, MVR,LRL,& GP. Here are the results
RACES Wins Places Shows Outs
100 75 17 4 4
So as you can see the w& fell however take note that one of these 3 won or placed 92 times out of the 100 races. Still a pretty nice %. In fact when this situation arises I tend to make 1 of them my key horse for the race.
Tim

Tim,

What was your minimum field size/event
in this survey?

Mike :)

[Lt1]

Mike I just took the races as they came. For example today at Parx there were 6 races with the same top 3. There were 4 7 horse fields &2 5horse fields One of the top3 won all 6. And also remember I include all levels of races from mdns to g1s. I am confident in the stats however folks should do their own survey. Again folks are free to disregard the findings but I shared them for info purposes.
Tim

[MJS6916]

Thank you Tim.

[Lt1]

Any time Mike.
Tim

[chillinggun]

I have not been on this site in a while and would be interested in looking at the videos you mentioned. Would you let me know where I can find them?
Thanks,
Tom

[Lt1]

Hi Tom. The vids are right here in the Leverage thread There are 2 sets 1 from the original study group & the 2nd by Ted ,Dick Werpy, & Bill Lyster detailing the Leverage approach. Just click on the RDSS/Leverage tab and you will see them
Tim

[raceman5]

When you get your top 3 horses, how do u decide which one to bet

Bob

[Lt1]

Hi Bob I usually play dds so I use all 3 If I do decide to w/p bet then I wager cap 60/40 and use my model and odds to decide which 2,
Tim