What does the BL/BL rating tell us?

[kahunab]

Gentlemen, In answer to a couple of comments in my last post about Fractals I went back and looked at Follow Ups 74 and 67 . Comments about BL/BL ranks and returns, I wondered if the data came out the same in todays racing world. So I quired our database of almost 5000 races analyzing BL/BL and payouts. Here is the executive summary and attached is the full report breaking out surfaces and distances. Enjoy!

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Dick

How did the test pick pacelines?

Is it possible to narrow to top3? There are a lot of 6 horse fields run.


Jeff

[kahunab]

Jeff,
Great questions.

Consistency sake we use the same line selection in our studies.

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If you open the linked file, you will find a complete breakdown of the data. As an example here is what the dirt sprint breakdown looks like.

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Hope that helps!

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Dick

Thanks for the reply, this was good info

I meant that for the initial study instead of 5 do it for 3


Jeff

[kahunab]

Jeff,
I think you can just add the 1's, 2's and 3's to get the number in the top 3 positions. In the sprint example above, adding the top 3 percentages for winners we get 64.74% in the top 3 and for place horses we get 57.33% in the top 3.

Dick

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Dick

Thanks for the reply, I was writing back to tell you a wise
member here told me what to do.

Sorry for confusion

Jeff