PDA

View Full Version : Lucky Drummer


admin
04-14-2007, 07:07 AM
I knew that ;)

a little while ago I picked totally at random a horse to make a point about entering the full variant into Valm. I pick that horse to use because it was the first horse I found that was running back to the same distance
at mountaineer
That horse was Lucky Drummer
http://bindfold.com/forums/showpost.php?p=17457&postcount=7

Last night I did race 6 from MNR and there he is # 5
I bet the 5 with # 8 and the five won

admin
04-14-2007, 07:10 AM
here is my BLBL
also I am adding the APV/CR

APV Cr
1. 41.3% 1.60
2. 122.4% 1.70
3. 124.6% 1.41
4. 72.4% 1.03
5. 128.7% 1.16
6. 187.6% 1.42
7. 176.8% 1.75
8. 159.3% 1.86
9. 83.8% 1.05

admin
04-14-2007, 07:17 AM
here is horse 1
i knew from the APV/CR numbers that this one was up against it
I used its MC win line but Doc suggest a APV very close to 100
for Maiden winners
that 41 is a tipoff

admin
04-14-2007, 07:20 AM
I used line 2 projected from 7.0 at connecticut LOL
I see line 1 is a trouble line (checked) but line 2 seems like a good line
The horse show a good record lifetime Routing

admin
04-14-2007, 07:21 AM
No lines slow and steady

admin
04-14-2007, 07:22 AM
Turns out to be the place horse at very good odds

admin
04-14-2007, 07:23 AM
Here is the winner off a good race last week
Line 1

admin
04-14-2007, 07:24 AM
too slow

admin
04-14-2007, 07:27 AM
Third race back from a layoff line 2 is good
has good apv cr numbers but last race was very bad
so i will help this one

admin
04-14-2007, 07:30 AM
Here is my other win bet horse

Turns out to be a unreal SR of 87 from its MSW win
But unlike horse 1 and 4 ,Horse 8 apv CR for the maiden win
is good

admin
04-14-2007, 07:32 AM
last one horse 9
The numbers say slow and 0 for 15 last two years
Iused line 2 for no apparent reason

admin
04-14-2007, 07:34 AM
Ok so I will hide the 9
6th Total energy and Primary line score

admin
04-14-2007, 07:38 AM
Number 4 goes next
Looking back I maybe should have ditched to 2

admin
04-14-2007, 07:39 AM
Wild late for the 1

admin
04-14-2007, 07:44 AM
Decision time

The 8 is my first bet
if the 1 was not so bad APV and CR and in tier 3
if it was over 9/2 it would have been my bet
so I go back up to horse 5 in tier 2

My win bets were 5 and 8
lucky for me the elimination of the 1 from the APV /CR
leads me to the winner # 5
if the 1 was cool I would have bet 1 -8

shoeless
04-14-2007, 08:48 AM
Bill,Nice Job .You know that program like the back of your hand.Jeff

RichieP
04-14-2007, 12:30 PM
step by step to the cashier's window bud!