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PeteC
06-13-2009, 04:12 PM
This looked like a good race to match. I projected the pace from the last line of #12: 22.1 44.2. He looks like a fast early fighter in race where only 1 other really has shown an interest in the early lead.

#1 Sus Beaten by #12 in the tandem last out and #12 fought thru the first 2 calls. OUT

#2 P/S Shows good power moves running OTE on the turf at SA and then line 8 at GG. If I was looking OTE in this race he might merit some longshot consideration, but... OUT

#3 P/S Beaten in the last race tandem by #12. OUT

#4 E/P Looks like the only one that might run with #12 early, but I see the 22.3 and 45.2 at DMR where he won but then the most recent race, a poor run, where he didn't have the lead at the 1st call in 22.4. OUT

#5 Pre Beaten by #12 in last race tandem. OUT

#6 Pre Went backwards in the tandem. OUT

#7 Sus Won last race vs FPLR (21.4 44.4) but I see he also stays back vs slower paces, like line 2 vs 22.2 45.2. Also, he was still 4th by 2 lengths at the stretch in 57.4 while #12 was on the lead at the stretch in 56.2. OUT

#8 Sus Mostly routes but looking way back at sprints vs fast paces...didn't do much...OUT

#9 Pre Showed he can fight for a 22.1 1st quarter but if the pace is faster than 45.2 at the half, that should be it, especially when mixing it up with #12. OUT

#10 Sus Last 2 races vs similar paces weren't too good. OUT

#11 SCRATCHED

#12 Ear Fought thru 1st 2 calls in 22.1 and 44.2 then opened up to lead by a length only to get nailed by a nose in a very fast time. Line 8 also shows he can go wire to wire in 22 44.3.

At 5-2 ML favorite, not a huge price, but looks like a solid standout. We'll see how it turns out...

tfm
06-13-2009, 07:18 PM
This is an example of why we pull our hair out with this game. Like you, I liked the fact that the 12 was a fighter and thought he had a very good chance. But I couldn't take him to win at 1:1, so I bet him on top of a longshot I thought had a chance to run 2nd, the 8, who was cutting back from 2 turns and had moved too soon last out. Well, the 8 ran 2nd at 38:1, just missing getting up as they hit the wire, and payed $31.40 to place. The 12 never picked its feet up. :eek:

Sometimes it goes that way.

PeteC
06-13-2009, 10:07 PM
Yep, it certainly goes that way sometimes. Just gotta try not to second guess and move on to the next one. Hopefully it pans out better. Nice call on the 8 by the way!!