Dominant Early Brings It In.

[SilentRun]

This is an example of the all powerfull E/L graph which shows
the most early winner #4. My E/L data for Calder also supports the E/L value
for #4 as being in the range, for 5F, as depicted by Mr. Tim Y's excellent post on E/l by distance.

I captured a portion of the results of my betting (below)which includes several, but not all, win bets on the 4 and 7.
while I was deceiding how to play the Suoerfecta. The low odds favorite, #8 went off around 2/5 and
luckily ran out of the money. I am happy to win anytime but I felt I bet somewhat sloppy and did not take
full advantage of the situation.

Ernie

[mikesal57]

nice going ernie...would love to see the PP's for the 3 early horses to see how he did in the match up.....being last on the total energy screen shows me thats he quits in the race

mike

[SilentRun]

nice going ernie...would love to see the PP's for the 3 early horses to see how he did in the match up.....being last on the total energy screen shows me thats he quits in the race

mike

Yes, the horse is weak on T.E. and that usually is a throw out...........BUT
Dominant/Lone early seems to override the low T.E. It is a phenomenon I
have seen this too many times. This time I took action. I guess I could have hidden
the #1 horse which was too late for 5f in which case the #4 horse would have made the top 5.
Also the horse was really the lone E as far as ESP. All others were either S/L.

The APV% / CR was significantly higher than all the other entries.
The color coded APV%/CR horses warrant a 200 race, WIN/ITM, statisical sample
for I see them hitting the board fairly often. But the main factor is the E/L graph.

There was another race that started to look similiar to the 8th. I was
in the middle of working it when I got a phone call. I missed the race and now I am
revisiting it and if it is anything like this one I will post it.

Ernie

[mikesal57]

thxs ernie...

the 8 lost to the 7 last out....

so it was between the 7 & 4

now...the 2 races that were not on the 4 pp....i just watched it..

2 back...fighting the whole race and lost by a nose going..22.3

last ...fighting again and won going 22.4

much the class here but we couldnt see it..thxs trackmaster...they should post something instead of leaving it out completely

[SilentRun]

This is the race that I missed while talking on the phone....and that proved to be an expensive phone call.
The dominant early horse #6 won at a nice mutual (below).
The #6 was bumped at the start but was never more than 1.5 lengths from the lead.
The next early horse was #10 who lead till the stretch but gave it up.

Ernie

[Ted Craven]

much the class here but we couldnt see it..thxs trackmaster...they should post something instead of leaving it out completely

Here is what was reported by TrackMaster:

17135

17136

[SilentRun]

I guess I took a bit of a risk without seeing the last 2 lines. In fact I
didn't even think about going back to the results charts for the last 2 races
I dont know of anyway to access them without paying a fee.

Ernie

[Ted Craven]

Actually, I was just showing that the running position and beaten lengths was indeed available on the Original screen (not the Adjusted screen), and actually everything available from the Chart was shown in the PPs.

If you want Charts for any race in a horse's PPs, you get that with the Charts+PP RDSS data plan. Then just click on the race/date column and the Chart is fetched from TrackMaster.

Ted

[SilentRun]

I never even bother with the original screen...I better take the blinkers off.

Ermie

[mikesal57]

Here is what was reported by TrackMaster:

17135

17136

sorry Ted...I didnt have that card...i went by what ernie posted..

i apologize Trackmaster...;)

mike

[For The Lead]

nice going ernie...would love to see the PP's for the 3 early horses to see how he did in the match up.....being last on the total energy screen shows me thats he quits in the race

mike



Ernie

Yes, the horse is weak on T.E. and that usually is a throw out not if it is a LONE EARLY...........BUT
Dominant/Lone early seems to override the low T.E. It is a phenomenon I have seen this too many times.almost all the time This time I took action. I guess I could have hidden
the #1 horse which was too late for 5f in which case the #4 horse would have made the top 5.
Also the horse was really the lone E as far as ESP. All others were either S/L. there really isn't anything else you need to know

The APV% / CR was significantly higher than all the other entries. and this certainly didn't hurt the horses chances
The color coded APV%/CR horses warrant a 200 race, WIN/ITM, statisical sample
for I see them hitting the board fairly often. But the main factor is the E/L graph.