New Year's Eve - 6f

[RichieP]

Morning everyone and have a great day/night! If you are heading out to watch the ball drop remember it's amateur night so be careful of those around you.

Good stuff yesterday I see! Pete nails both races and everyone did great :)

Aqueduct's 5th race going 6f

Same setup as yesterday with tandems being shown on middle tab

Race conditions and pps for the field

[RichieP]

...

[RichieP]

..:)

[raceman5]

i'll take the 2

[PeteC]

This looks like another fun race...

First, running styles:

1- Pre
2- Ear 22.4 45.2 last race before tiring to third
3- Ugly-OUT
4- Sus
5- Ear shipper from tracks I'm not familiar with - 22.3 46.5 last out and 22 45.8 in line 7
6- Ear 22.7 46.4 last race before finishing second
7- P/S
8- E/P
9- P/S
10- Ear almost held on vs 22.4 46 last out. battled thru 22.2 44.9 in line 8, but has only won with a clear lead early.
11- E/P
12- Pre

I feel this race will run ote, with #10, although the best early, probably not getting his comfort zone lead today. I'll look for an ote runner who can do well vs a 22.4 45.2 pace.

#1 moved 5-4-3 vs today's pace last out then faded to 4th. ran 3-2-2-2 vs similar in line 5.

#4 ran 6-6-4-2 in line 2 vs today's pace but what happened last time?

#12 Feels like he might be sitting in the best spot based on early positions vs similar first calls. However, comparing him to the others on the inner tracks races, his pace of race seems a little slow.

I'm down to these three. No spot play for me, but I'd favor the 12, then 1 or 4.

[mikesal57]

OK..my take...even though I gave up on NY tracks cause I cant sniff a winner here..thxs friend!!

Projected pace....from the 10...22.4.. 46.0.....times will be in tenths like its shown..I didnt use the Penn horse because of the lower class and faster track he came from...I dont know if you guys do it like this but I would like your input on how you handle it..

tandems ..How can u eliminate horses that take turns beating each other?..I will do the most obvious ones..

Eliminate: 3-7-9

1) p..ran once vs this pace..nothing......out
2) e/p.has handled this pace................in
4) s...has ran vs this pace and came in 3rd by 3 or more lts...out
5) e...has won vs this pace........in
6) e..has won vs pace...in
8) e/p...has run 2nd and 3rd vs pace....in
10) e..pacesetter...in
11) e/p ..has won vs pace..in
12) p..has placed vs pace...in

2-5-6-8-10-11-12..

I think race will be OTE cause the early horse needs open lts to win
5-6-10 out

2-8-11-12

#2 out..not the horse he used to be

8-11-12...in that order

gl and thxs richie

mike

[mikesal57]

yeah ..Pete...we have the field covered again..lol

[Bill Lyster]

I agree with the OTE aspect of this race. The big questions for me come from the 4 and 11. What happened last race. 4 is taking big class drop as he should off its last. 11 could be the best presser but last was a pull up. Also taking a class drop, but note this is the top APV/class horse. 2nd back was 28 days ago and gave hints of former self.

I don't see any of the rest of the EP or P types having enough punch to handle this pace. both the 4 and 11 are comfortable in mid pack. So my picks are w/p on 4 and win 11 with exacta box.

Good luck in the new year,

[mikesal57]

I agree with the OTE aspect of this race. The big questions for me come from the 4 and 11. What happened last race. 4 is taking big class drop as he should off its last. 11 could be the best presser but last was a pull up. 2nd back was 28 days ago and gave hints of former self.

I don't see any of the rest of the EP or P types having enough punch to handle this pace. both the 4 and 11 are comfortable in mid pack. So my picks are w/p on 4 and win 11 with exacta box.

Good luckin the new year

thxs Bill...Hows the weather?..it snowed here again...:mad:

[PeteC]

#4 and #7 are scratched according to Youbet.

Good luck everyone and thanks Richie for posting this race!

[Bill Lyster]

The weather is warm and very humid with no trade winds. I will get very sweaty chasing the tennis ball this afternoon. Good thing I plan to replenish the liquids later in the day.

Have a Safe New Year's,

Bill L

[mikesal57]

The weather is warm and very humid with no trade winds. I will get very sweaty chasing the tennis ball this afternoon. Good thing I plan to replenish the liquids later in the day.

Have a Safe New Year's,

Bill L

i hate you!!!

shoveled snow again...lol

[mikesal57]

12-3-7

HA

The favorite with 2 horses I threw out..

I LOVE NEW YORK

[RichieP]

Nice work again Pete! Way to go man :)

Happy New Year everyone and stay safe

[Charlie D]

Mike

"Speedfigures will help you" The Hat


Look at #5 Speedfigures and then say #2,#6 and #10 and ask yourself the question. Is this horse going to be competitive here.?

[mikesal57]

Charlie...are you saying that i should have thrown he out earlier?

yes, I see that he wouldnt be there at the end, but I do need him to see the picture on how he effects the other earlies..

:confused:

mike

[Charlie D]

Not really telling you do anything different to what you did Mike. Just passing on one of The Hat's helpers on shippers

[PeteC]

Nice work again Pete! Way to go man :)

Happy New Year everyone and stay safe

Thanks Rich! Just practicing what I've learned here. It's nice when it works out! :)

[mikesal57]

Not really telling you do anything different to what you did Mike. Just passing on one of The Hat's helpers on shippers

k..understood