Jimbob1002-august

[JIMBOB1002]

:):):)

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Hid #3 strong favorite: $50 w #7/$20 w #4/$30 pl #4

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***

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:(:(:( loss

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$50 w #5/$50 w #3

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Almost #5 which had a great workout 5 days ago.

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:(:(:( loss

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$20 W #:8: $30 PL #:8:
$20 W #:2: $30 PL #:2:
Went with the top BL/BL and vdc horse and with the 5th tier 2nd VDC horse.
Both were top 2 on the segment screen.And the #2 has a 1 in DCL,LPR,FX.

[JIMBOB1002]

Beaten by a 20/1 ML horse that went off at 22/1. :(:(

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$50 w #:1:/$20 w #:8:/$30 pl #:8:
Taking #1 on the BL/BL
and going with my 3rd tier horse
with higher odds.

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Can't seem to win one.:(:(:(

[Bill V.]

It was a tough race Jim
I would have used line 4 from Tampa
However 7.5 and 8.2 distance races have always given me trouble
I looked at the race and I passed
but If I had bet it I would have thrown the winner out
and lost
29436
29437


I would have bet the 1 and 6

[JIMBOB1002]

Thanks Bill,just wondered if you had done this race why you would have picked line 3 for #4 instead of line 2.Jim

[Bill V.]

Thanks Bill,just wondered if you had done this race why you would have picked line 3 for #4 instead of line 2.Jim


Hi Jim

Both line 2 and 3 are Plus lines But to me although line 3 is the highest
speed rating,my question was is it an accurate example of this horses ability ?
In all its prior plus races at Parx it runs closer to a mid to upper 70's adjusted
speed rating. Look at the trackmaster speed ratings it get 100 and never
near that in all its other plus lines
I just thought that using line 3 was more representative and I had several
confirming pace lines for line 3

Horse 4
29470

[JIMBOB1002]

Thanks Bill.That is something I really need to think about more.Jim

[JIMBOB1002]

$50 w on #1/$50 w #5

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Went with top 2 on bl/bl and vdc. Wrong again

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:(:(:(

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$50 w #9/$20 w #1/$30 pl #1

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:(:(:(

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:(:(:) At least a place but only $5.20

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$50 w #1/$50 w #5 Hid #4

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:(:(:( Getting Depressed

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$50 w #:7:/$20 w #:2: /$30 pl #:2: Hid #:5:

[Bill V.]

:(:(:( Getting Depressed

Hi Jimbob

It might help you to focus on the odds line on BLBL

Now you did nothing wrong in that you hid the 4
and went for some prices. You may want to start looking at the
oddsline and using it to look for overlays
In your race the 4 was ML 2/1 RDSS has it at odds of 1/1
and thats what the public bet it to The 1 is very close on the line score
so the 1 wa a good bet

Just something to start observing. where is the hide horse on the
odds line, and the line score

GS
Bill

[JIMBOB1002]

Thanks Bill

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:(:(:(

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$50 w #4/$20 w #3/$30 pl #3

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:(:(:(

[Bill V.]

Hi Jimbob

I looked over your Del race 6 selections
Its a very tough race that I would have lost too.

Here are my pace line comments

H1A 5 Plus races in line 2 4 8.9.10 look how consistantly early it runs I would use line 2
H2 Horse really gets around and on all surfaces
Line 1 and 2 are both good lines I will use line 1

H3. 7 plus races this one also consistantly runs his
plus sprint races early Has won 2 races in a row
but shows no races from Delaware line 6 is its only plus race at 6.0 from penn use it but this guy need to be vdc 1 to consider it a bet
H4 7 plus races but a NTL horse E5 if this one
does not show open lenghts on the segments screen
he is not a bet Line 1
H5 All 10 races are Plus lines If this one is ready
it will be tough I used Line 1
H6 5 plus races has won its last 3 I will use line 1
H7 6 plus races Besides the 2 sprints at CT the horse runs mid early aon the E/l tpr scree
H8 6 plus races runs heavy on the early side of the e/l TPR I will use line 2

I used line 1 for the winner but as you can see here lines 1 ,2 or 3 rate the winner poorly

The 4 horse is the E5 but looking at your segments screen it would have
a hard time getting and holding a lead

It was a tough race I would not have won this one for sure

29794

[JIMBOB1002]

Thanks Bill this info helps me a great deal.I think I need to take more time in selecting pacelines and comparing the odds.Jim

[JIMBOB1002]

$50 w #5 and #4

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$50 w #:1:/$20 w #:4:$30 pl #:4: BOTH SCREENS SHOW 1 AND 4 ON TOP

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$50 w #:12:/$20 w #:10:/$30 pl #:10: IF EITHER SCRATCHED CANCEL BET

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$50 w #:5:/$20 w #:6:/$30 pl #:6: If either scratched cancel bet

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$50 w #:7:/$20 w #:1:/$30 pl #:1: If either scratched cancel bet

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***

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:(:(:(

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:):):) broke the ice

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:(:(:( loss

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$50 w #:5:/$20 w #:8:/$30 w#:8:

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:(:(:( loss

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$50 w/pl #:5:

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:(:(:( Should have hidden the favorite. Wrong decision

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$50 w #:1: $20 w #:8:$30 pl #:8:

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:(:(:( loss

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$40 w #:2: $60 w #:3:

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$50 w #:2: #20 w #:7: $30 PL #:7:

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$50 w #:9: $50 w #:8:

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$20 w #:11: $30 pl #:11: $50 w #:12:

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:(:(:( loss

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:(:(:(:( loss