noddub62 august contest

[noddub62]

Looking forward to August

[noddub62]

Default settings, Val4. Best of last 3 comprable but I am sometimes loose on this. Adjusted SR and perceptor & no beaten lengths over 7 1/2. I love cheap races and hate last time winners unless they have a big win and/or good works. I eliminate to my top 5 keeping the top TE and Priminary LS score. If they don't line up I'll eliminate to get 5 by BLBL.

When selecting races for the contest I try to find full fields (min. 8) and ML odds with only 1 maybe at 5:2 and perfer 6F and no 2YO, maidens and NW1.

I bet off of the ML for contests as we can't wager on line here in the Texas although it has not been a problem for me. I wagercap the top 3 or 4 contenders using the high & low odds, hidding if less than 2:1.

From Bill and Ted's spreadsheet it was apparent that I don't need to bet place since for me it's a losing deal. I plan to bet win only but in all of the above statements I reserve the right to change my mind.:D

Thanks for the spreadsheets Bill & Ted.

Budman

[noddub62]

Pen race 5 $50 win on #8 & #6

28808

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$50 win on #9 & #7
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28812

[Bill V.]

Default settings, Val4. Best of last 3 comprable but I am sometimes loose on this. Adjusted SR and perceptor & no beaten lengths over 7 1/2. I love cheap races and hate last time winners unless they have a big win and/or good works. I eliminate to my top 5 keeping the top TE and Priminary LS score. If they don't line up I'll eliminate to get 5 by BLBL.

When selecting races for the contest I try to find full fields (min. 8) and ML odds with only 1 maybe at 5:2 and perfer 6F and no 2YO, maidens and NW1.

I bet off of the ML for contests as we can't wager on line here in the Texas although it has not been a problem for me. I wagercap the top 3 or 4 contenders using the high & low odds, hidding if less than 2:1.

From Bill and Ted's spreadsheet it was apparent that I don't need to bet place since for me it's a losing deal. I plan to bet win only but in all of the above statements I reserve the right to change my mind.:D

Thanks for the spreadsheets Bill & Ted.

Budman
Thank You Bud
After reading your outline I can see why you have been in the top 3 both in June and July. I also wish to give you a shout for your great work in the 2nd
20 race cycle, within the july contest
You were a big part in me pushing for seperate 20 race cycles as opposed to
the running 20 race method we used in July.
You are a good person for us to follow
Bill

[noddub62]

Thanks Bill,

But you deserve the credit, not me as I am just following your example. I really was sloppy the first 2o races in July and decided that I had to do better or just quit. I was terrible! I focused more on the last 20 and was much improved and I'm looking forward to improvement in August. Also all of my selections were ML odds. I thought that would be a disadvantage but it really wasn't. I'll be watching your explainations and learning more from you.

Thanks for being a good teacher. Doc would be very proud of you.

Bud

[Diane M]

I just want to thank all of you for sharing your knowledge. It is greatly appreciated...

[noddub62]

28851

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PEN Race 7 $60 w on 3, $40W on 5
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Tier 3 got me

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Dmr r 2 $50 w on 7,2
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Dmr $50 w 2,9

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Dmr r8 $50 w 7,6

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Losse these two by a hd & a nk. WOULD HAVE BEEN GOOD PLACE BETS BUT I'M NOT DOING THAT FOR THIS CONTEST.

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[noddub62]

Pen race 2 hide #3, $60 w on #8, $40 w on #4


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Pen r 5 $60 w 0n #1, $40w 0n # 2
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pen race # 8 $50 win, #6 & 7



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A loss but look at the winner's (#5) mutuel! I really hate it that my #7 scratched as I liked his F2 & DCL reds.

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pen race 6 $60W on 4, $40 on 2
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pen race 7 $50 win 4,3
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CT race 5 $60 W on 4, $40 W on 2
I liked the way they looked on the increment screen and 9 was rated on a 6.5 furlong race and will be less than 2:1 at post time.
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[noddub62]

CT race 7 $40 W on 5, $60 W on 3 just wager cap top 3 H & L on BLBL.
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curse of the hidden favorite

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Why did I bet this race? Whish I'd Known the 4 scratched.
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This really fooled me.
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finally a win!!

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DMR R5 $60 W on 1, $40 W on 12
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DMR Race 9 $40 W on 2, $60 W on 5

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Evd r 8 $50 w 4,8

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dmr r 2
6 w on 5, 40 w on 7 hope i'm not to late

[noddub62]

intended 60 w instead of 6

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29570

29571

[noddub62]

how do you get this winner?
29573

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Dmr r 8 $80w on 2, $20w on 5
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Dmr r 10 $50w on 9 & 13
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[noddub62]

this will finish my 1st Aug 20 R cycle, betting win only.

DMR Race 5 $40 W on 10, $60 W on 6


screen shots later

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