Barb Craven - September

[barb craven]

See You September 7th.:):)

[barb craven]

As I'm one of those that play in the moment and look for value, not necessarily the winner, I thought I would post my way of looking at a race at the beginning of the month. I tend to play the smaller tracks because the prices are better there, and as you will see as you read further, I don't eliminate down to the best five horses until after I have looked at all the RDSS screens because a good long shot might be missed . I don't usually post in here until about 5 mpt and make my bet at 0 mpt so it's impossible for me to put my reasoning down at that time.,
I start by using the automatic line selection, best of the last three perceptor, and then go over each horse to make sure that is the line I want to use. I use the adjusted speed rating to do this. I sometimes will go back more than three races to get the line I think best represents what I think the horse will do today. For that I take into consideration the number of days back the line is. I'm looking for what he can do on similar distance and surface. I like to see it within 90 days but if he has worked out I will go back a little further. For turf, I will take his best line, within reason, but will go back further if I have to.
After I have the lines picked, I let RDSS take over. I look first at the POH screen. For the sprints, I pay attention to F#1&2, SC and TS, for routes I look more at F#3 and DCL. Next I look at the energy screen. Here I look at the Energy, FX, E/EP and TPP for sprints and Energy, FW, L/EP and TPP for routes. Unlike most I skip over the TPR screen to the Segments and look at the CBL and if it is a route, also the incremental matchup. Then in Primary I eliminate down to 5, sometimes I'm able to get to 4 or 3, then on to BL. I am a colour person, so on this screen I look for the hoses with the most red and green as I have been doing all along with all the other screens, This time I pay attention also to the collaries as well as I have found them to be a very powerful reinforcement.
Now to decide who to bet on. If there is a strong early favourite and another who looks like might be equally strong, but coming in late, I will bet against the favourite and put a win, place on the next one, especially if it is in my third BL tier which I have found for me wins more often than not. If there are two horses I like, I will bet them both to win. Lately I have found a new thing to look for, coming from Rev. Bert, who looks for patterns in everything. We found that if you see a pattern of yellows show up at Finger Lakes, that horse will be in the money and often win.
There is probably more I could add to this, but this is the general way I do things. Having explained the way I do a race, all you will see in the September contest is the screen shots, more than one if I have time, but of course at least one.
Good skill everyone.

[pilot]

Hi Barb, thanks for that great post.

Wayne

[barb craven]

Hi back Wayne. Thanks a lot.

[pilot]

You're welcome Barb

Wayne

[barb craven]

R1
$60w #3; $40w #2
I should probably go with the 6 if I was doing it the Bert M way, but we'll see.
30231

[barb craven]

R8
$60 w #9
$40 w #1
30233

[barb craven]

R6 $60 w #3, $40 w #2

[barb craven]

Race 8
$60w #3
$40 p #3

[barb craven]

R6 $50 w #6
$25 w,p #5

[barb craven]

R6 $60 w #3, $40 w #2

I screwed up on the date. Today is the 16th, not the 17th. Don't know if it counts or not.
30268

[barb craven]

I had the 17th instead of 16th for all races I did todayRace 8
$60w #3
$40 p #3
No excuse, I should of had this one. I guess I'm hung up on the 3rd tier thing.
30269

[barb craven]

r6 $50 w #6
$25 w,p #5
30270

[Bill V.]

I screwed up on the date. Today is the 16th, not the 17th. Don't know if it counts or not.

Hi Barb Please be careful. It seems harmless but it puts a big stress on me
Nice win!

[barb craven]

$60 w 4
$40 w 1

[barb craven]

FPX R4
$30 W,P #4
$20 WP #5

R7
$30 W,P #4
$20 W,P #8

R9
$60 W #10
$40 W #7

R11
$60 W #1
$40 W #6

Screen shots to follow

[barb craven]

fpx r4
$30 w,p #4
$20 wp #5
30380

[barb craven]

r7
$30 w,p #4
$20 w,p #8
30385

[barb craven]

r9
$60 w #10
$40 w #7
30386

[barb craven]

r11
$60 w #1
$40 w #6
30391:)

[barb craven]

Today it's PRX.
race 1 - $40 w 1,5
$10 p 1,5

race 4 - $25 w,p 4,10

race 5 - $50 w 9,10

5ace 7 - $60 w 5
$40 w 9

race 11 $60 w 8
$20 w,p 7

[barb craven]

[quote=barb craven;84221]Today it's PRX.
race 1 - $40 w 1,5
$10 p 1,5

race 4 - $25 w,p 4,10

race 5 - $50 w 9,10

5ace 7 - $60 w 5
$40 w 9

race 11 $60 w 8
$20 w,p 7
Because of 4 scratches in race 4 it changes the dynamics of race, I would like to change
race 4 to $25 w,p 9,12

race 7 to $60 w #9
$40 w #5

[barb craven]

race 1 - $40 w 1,5
$10 p 1,5
30424

[barb craven]

race 4 to $25 w,p 9,12
30425

[barb craven]

race 5 - $50 w 9,10
30426

[barb craven]

race 7 - $60 w 5
$40 w 9
30427

[barb craven]

race 11 $60 w 8
$20 w,p 7
30428

[barb craven]

race #5 $60 w #5
$40 w #8

[barb craven]

race 1$30 w,p 5
$20 w,p 3

race 4
$25 w,p 2,5

race 5
$60 w 1
$40 w 6

race 7
$60 w 1
$40 w 6

race 8
$100 w 7
screen shots to follow

[barb craven]

race 1$30 w,p 5
$20 w,p 3
win
30575

[barb craven]

race 4
$25 w,p 2,5
win
30576

[barb craven]

race 5
$60 w 1
$40 w 6
loss
30577

[barb craven]

race 7
$60 w 1
$40 w 6
win
30578

[barb craven]

race 8
$100 w 7
screen shots to follow
loss - my yellow at FL let me down
30579

[barb craven]

SA race 7 $50 w,p #5