Predict...the future

[polambi]

Don't be shy :) Here are the 3 main contenders of the race: #1, #2, #10. With the screenshots provided, can you tell who the actual winner is going to be???

[Bill V.]

I am not able to work with just the PP's you show :o
So I used my own. I hate to post this with out scratches or track conditions
but I will be busy today and tonight so I have to post this early.

In truth this race would be a pass for me. I have issues with a few horses and
I would have trouble with horse 10 winning 3 races in a row, and the #1
is 1.6 on the ML. I would say 1 and 2 but I will not bet the race

H1 Early Line 1
H2 Press Line 1
H3 No line 30/1
H4 Press No Line Line 3 is not fast enough in EP or LP
H5 E in routes and stuck at N3Life Don't know ? Issue here
H6 Sus might improve off last line and finish 2nd again has 23 2nd place finished
H7 Sus Rate off the N2 Life win 163.5 20/1
H8 Press No excuse to go to line 3 No Line Issue 3
H9 Early. forgive line 1,first try against N3 -L end of form cycle. I will use Line 2
H10 E-EP going for 3 wins in a row ? I don"t want to hvae to use the MS win because this is a N3 life race but line 1 is non comparable
7.0 on the turf why the drop from
CL 15 to CL5.. Issues here too



35905

35904

[polambi]

:) Hi Bill. Thanks for the effort. You made a good point about horse #10 ability to win 3 in a row. After reading your post, I went to investigate further, and found out that in both or her previous wins, she broke from the #1 post. I guess it will be harder this time on the #10 post.
My initial thoughts were that the #1 horse has two main advantages in this matchup: It is an Early horse braking from the #1 post and it has a better first fraction. I could add also that the #1 horse did not have to work hard for her last victory...and that is also a plus.
Thanks again. Have a nice weekend:)
Paul

[Bill V.]

Hey Paul

Looks like the 1 could have been bet. The 1 goes wire to wire.
The 10 chased the 1 but did not last. The 2 finished third

Thanks for asking about this race

Bill


35911

[polambi]

Just for the records...the #1 horse did in fact win. Bill V was absolutely right about the #10 horse. She made a bold move from the start, by crossing over from the #10 post all the way to the left, where she met up with the #1 horse for a short one on one face off. I guess that move cost her a lot, because she faded badly after that.

[polambi]

Hi Bill, It looks like I was writing at the same time as you were posting :)
The #1 was not a long shot, but I was able to triple my money by betting on her to win. Good skills Bill.

[Appy]

Looks to me like what FTL has been showing us works pretty well.