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Conversation Between PeteC and cigar
Showing Visitor Messages 1 to 4 of 4
  1. cigar
    02-11-2015 04:03 PM
    cigar
    I responded to your last post, let know if you receive it? I hit reply but I did not see my respond anywhere on your original post.

    if you did not, let match a few live races, let me know which race and track and I will download RDSS file. Then we can compare notes. I would like to see your work up from top to bottom for future reference and visual learning. Please disregard if you received my original reply.
  2. cigar
    02-10-2015 05:21 PM
    cigar
    Not sure if you got my first response, resending again.

    I match the WO race without checking for scratches, did not want to check other posts fearing to find out who had won.

    The way I project pace is by going through fraction by fraction of each horse on the lead or close to the lead. Horses close to the lead I adjust for beaten lengths. Also, another error on my part is not converting the PP raw time which is in tenths to fifths.

    I took your suggestion and started reading Richie posts on the match up. I am now matching up fraction by fraction without adjusting for beaten lengths. Please correct me if I am wrong.

    If you can spare some time, I would like another crack at projecting pace. I like to use RDSS and have most of 2014 card from WO. What would greatly help, if you can work the race and we compare notes?

    Thanks again for all your inputs.
  3. cigar
    02-06-2015 10:54 AM
    cigar
    Lesson 2WO 7 - 1 1/16 - clm6250

    1 1/16 - Clm 6250
    PP ESP EARLY PACE Comments
    SCENRIO
    1 S Tandem slower than 1 full second
    1A P Tandem slower than 1 full second
    2 E 52 - 114.6 - 148.1 Tandem slower than 1 full second
    3 P Lost to Tandem horse #3 - slow
    4 E/P Not competitive with today pace
    5 E/P Not competitive with today pace
    6 E/P Sprit to Route - different track - cannot compete
    7 P Win Candidate
    8 S Turf to Poly - no way to compare
    9 S Not competitive with today pace
    10 E/P Not competitive with today pace
    11 E 49.2 - 113.2 - 145.7 Pace horse:- need the lead, will not get
    12 E/P 48.3 - 112.4 - 146.2 Pace Horse: Will loose energy trying to keep up with #13
    13 E/P 48.2 - 112 - 145.2 Win Candidate
    14 S Not competitive with today pace

    **** E/P - Which one can be upgrade to E


    PROJECTED PACE: 49 - 113.2 - 145.2

    Race will run OTE.

    Pick: 13 - 7

    Analysis:
    #13 - does not need the lead, will be very close up. Competitive at class level and qualify on Tandem
    #7 - Bombs away, competitive with pace, drop in class, win rate good. Negative trainer/jock
  4. cigar
    02-05-2015 01:48 PM
    cigar
    I've have completed the first lesson, please let me know what your taught are. I will review the member post on this race now. I do have some question which I will post later. Thanks

    5.5F Clm 7500n4L - Prax
    PP ESP EARLY PACE
    SCENRIO
    1 P
    1A S
    2 EP
    3 E 22.3 - 46 - 106.3
    4 EP 22.3 - 46.1 - 106.4
    5 EP
    6 EP 22.1 - 45.8 - 106.5
    7 S
    8 S
    9 P

    PROJECTED PACE: 22.3 - 46.1 - 106.2

    Race will be very contentious with 3 - 4 - 6 vying for the lead. Race will run OTE.

    Pick: 2 - 5

    Analysis:
    #2 qualify on Tandem, has won off the pace. Ran 104, 4th races back and 106 2nd races back. Solid stat.
    #5 competitive at distance. 4th & 5th races back. Competitive in Tandem with #2. Last race and 3rd back can be excused.

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