Lt1

Tim
This is in regards to MED%
I noticed that there are different parameters in regards to ESP.
L has a different % than s sp etc. i have enclosed a list based on gulf stream 8.3 POLY
eg
MED % ESP
GP 66.00 L TO 67.00 L
GP 67.10 S TO 67.70 S
GP 67.80 SP TO 68.20 SP
GP 68.70 EP
69.50 E TO 72.00 E

Did not have enough data on on E and EP
Data was based on 50 available data points.
It would seem to me if you have an L horse that runs a 67.80 you
would throw him out???
What is interesting it goes up in a consistent manner.

I would of posted it but did not know where.
Notice that the % goes up...so it would seem to me that one would have to use
different MED% parameters based on the ESP??
Let me know what you think...I used 2 different time periods so it would seem if you
have like an L ESP It would have to be within the approprite parameters?
Thanks
Don.

Hi Lt, When I save my models I include the horses I hide. Is this the recommended way? I have not seen it mentioned anywhere, just assumed you should? But it would definitely affect your ranks for non hide winning horses.
Thanks,
Ken

Well that one did not work as planned, but still interested in your opinion on how to bet that race.
Ken

HI Lt1,
So I'm also playing Parx today, when I play Parx I make my picks and then compare to yours, you definitely have some insights I do not understand yet!! Using all the best info I have accumulated thru RDSS I came to the same horses you did. The 11 throws an interesting wrinkle as I try to hold my bet to $12 for exacta and I think 11 has a potential to win but only 2 factors with great support numbers. I'll probably do 8,11,2 with 8,11,2,3,7. trying to hold with the 4 factor theory. What I'm asking is how do you bet this type race ? Good luck and enjoy your experience, I smile often at your success !
Thanks
Ken

Tim (new yorks finest)
There used to be a cartoon Mr. Wizard with the turtle...and when the turtle would get in
trouble he would start screaming help me Mr. Wizard. Well I am that Turtle...need some feedback.
You have stated on various post that you collect data for your models write information down. etc.
I have a question do you find that your models are changing in a shorter time periods
like weekly etc. Also do you consider class to be important...in other words do you
view alll 8f turf races regardless if there MC or Stakes as running pretty much in a similiar fashion in regards to the variables in RDSS? Like 8f turf races all the same at a
specified track.
Your thoughts would be greatly appreciated Mr. Wizard.
Thanks much
The Turtle.

Follow every day, CONGRATS ON THE 2 DAY SWEEP MAY THE PRICES STAY WITH YOU.
AN THANK YOU FOR WHAT KNOWLEDGE YOU DISPLAY AN GENEROUSLY GIVE
cjmat

Hi Lt
It’s part time follower of yours Barryt.
R U planning on doing Parx Sept 24th if so I’d greatly appreciate it as I’m planning a virtual day at the races.

HELLO !Lt1,
I hope your wife is better. I do not mean to bother you at this time......BUT I need to ask you 2 or maybe 4 question. also is there a way I can show you a race or to and if YOU wish to show and tell the rest ok by me. But first U K.C. RICHIE STUFF WORKS!!!

Did you, do you , know John Barile, also ex NYPD, who operates http://thetampabaydownshandicapper.com/
?

Thank you for the wake up of retained information, Race 6 at Laurel had me stumpted.
But the post to "D" made the speed rating an the 4th line to be used, on Sat.
I very much all the posts an info you provide. Thanx