Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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tom 06-26-2006 11:29 PM

Early Late
 
What is the ealry/late number?
I have gathered it might some relationship of EP (second call) and F3?
What do the numbers signify, ie, is 4.4 to 2.5 a lot, a little?
Does this number relate to balance at all?

Thanks

admin 06-27-2006 05:21 AM

Early Late
 
1 Attachment(s)
Tom
The lines show you how early or late the horse ran the paceline you enter
It shows a sort of balance but its not related to the Balance number
that is the sum of the Early and Late potential readouts on the
energy generator

Here is a little demo on how the lines are effected by the amount of how a horse runs more or less early

a center line or a stick that is on the center line means the horse ran a balanced or better word Even race

Here is a horse from MNR tonight
Race 6 horse #8

I enetered lines 2 and 3 they are very close in time
Donnella ran both races on or near the lead
in race 2 it faded and finished 1.4 Bl (adjusted ) behind

the next post will show the early late lines for these pace lines

admin 06-27-2006 05:25 AM

Early late
 
1 Attachment(s)
Here are the Early late line The readout is telling us that donnela
uses more of its total energy later in the race
in a win line (line 3 ) it ran a -13.0 This most likely a good measure for this horse
Look at line 2 because Donne faded a bit at the end its early late line is a little more towards the middle
the next screen I will show is the original paceline data
On speculator you can edit the lines I will soften up
Donnes race and change is fade to only 1.0 Beaten Lengths

admin 06-27-2006 05:35 AM

Here are the lines
 
1 Attachment(s)
I'm going to EDIt line 2 and soften the BL to 1.0
then in the next screen you will see how this slight change effects the
L/E

Here are the lines as is

admin 06-27-2006 05:38 AM

soften
 
1 Attachment(s)
Now I have edited the bl on Donne line 2 i change the BL to
1.0

admin 06-27-2006 05:40 AM

Now the Early Late Again
 
1 Attachment(s)
Now you see a slightly different line for Donne 2
Donne 3 stays the same
each readout on this graph is the way the horse ran the paceline you enter

tom 06-28-2006 09:26 PM

Thanks - good answers.
So I profile my track to see what knind of numbers are winning, say a winners needs to be -4.0 to -7.5, or something along those lines?

admin 06-28-2006 11:14 PM

Records
 
Yes and Doc had me do this for him
make 20 race cycles

I was asked to make 3 headings
Distance
E/L readout
Winner Piad

Doc wanted me to be aware of sprinters who and routers who paid the Higher prices would be slightly later than maybe my model said
He was so sharp, Doing this I eleiminated some false favorites
and it was simply another tool to make decisions when Validator would rate horse very closely



GS
Bill

tompkins 07-16-2006 01:21 PM

top three e/l's go 1-2-3
 
1 Attachment(s)
1st race - Fort Erie - July 16, 2006
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
4 One Meck of a Lady 11.00 4.60 3.20
8 Claire the Deputy 3.60 3.30
7 Lipstick Cherry 4.50

$2 Triactor 4-8-7 199.40
$2 Exactor 4-8 31.90

gl45 07-16-2006 03:05 PM

Mr. Tompkins,
Have you ever posted one of your selection, win or lose. I have not seen one yet, and you are keeping talking about E/L.
Handicapp a race, explain how did you come up with the final contenders and post your selections, with or without E/L.
Pino


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