Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Paceless Races (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11333)

The Pook 10-31-2017 05:37 PM

Two new candidates for Nov 1. Both from MNR.
Both have one lead on turf but are dirt races.

Good luck to all,

Pook

The Pook 10-31-2017 05:40 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Wed Nov 1 MNR 2 7:22 PM

The Pook 10-31-2017 05:42 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Wed Nov 1 MNR 6 8:50 PM

The Pook 11-01-2017 03:27 PM

Wed Nov 1 MNR 2 7:22 PM
(done the same way as all the others)

Contenders
3,4,6,7

4 WIN

Pook

The Pook 11-01-2017 03:33 PM

Wed Nov 1 MNR 6 8:50 PM

Contenders
3,5

3 WIN

Pook

Lt1 11-01-2017 09:05 PM

contenders 54136
3 too loow will go with 4 &5 for win and a $1 tri box 3456.
Tim

The Pook 11-02-2017 12:01 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Wed Nov 1 MNR 2 7:22 PM

4 was scratched so no play.

The Pook 11-02-2017 12:08 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Wed Nov 1 MNR 6 8:50 PM

Not run on the lead the way I expected but 3 did get a preferred position to take over from. A win of $5.20

Pook

The Pook 11-02-2017 10:01 AM

Paceless races recap to date from SEPT16 RP4 over one and a half months. This works out to about one race every two days from all tracks. A lot of looking. Only one race played every three days.

24 Races
8 Passes
16 Played with 8 Wins


Some of the guidelines were jelled a few races in and are back adjusted. But the ideas are sound. Races passed are passed due to low odds and ties where one single selection cannot be found. A couple were passed because of lack of proper contenders after handicapping. One was passed because of a scratch and wasn't included in this set. I think I lost track of a couple that I wouldn't have played because I couldn't handicap the race. But the ones that count are here.

Overall this reveals so far:
Most pay low. In the $5 range. I would have thought there would be more, higher payoffs. The public seems to have these figured out. The hit rate betting singles at 50% is in Bradshaw territory. So that is impressive. Impressive enough to keep going for a while. The sampling is still small.

Keep in mind that this is working with no pace projection because of the difficulty in projecting in these races. Others have chimed in occasionally with successful picks using methods that they use on any other races. (mostly lieutenant Tim...Thanks Tim). And thanks to all the others who have posted here whether successful or not.

Onwards,
Here are the 24 races in order.

Pook

The Pook 11-02-2017 10:16 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Sept16 rp4 $16. The thinking here was that with three tied for the second position, the fourth position looked ideal.


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