Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Anaylize This 9th Ct Friday (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=1365)

Houndog 07-13-2006 08:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by admin
Thanks houndog
Sorry Jeff

Bill and Jeff I didn't mean to make it sound that way. Everyone has different ways of posting screens, and Jeff let me know in a latter post what pacelines he used. I didn't want to come off sounding like a wise guy. I am sorry about that.

shoeless 07-13-2006 08:55 PM

Bill,I apologize for putting that in the post,believe me no harm was intended just my stupidity.Jeff

shoeless 07-13-2006 08:56 PM

Houndog,No I dont think that way you made a good point about putting pacelines used

Houndog 07-13-2006 09:06 PM

Fool looks to have a significant early advantage by virtue of his EMUV number in this match-up. Also lowest UXR and Highest Total Energy. Your variegate predictor and paragons and EXDC Match-Up are all in agreement.

shoeless 07-13-2006 11:17 PM

Thanks for the assessment,Fool's morning line is 12-1.This one might be a play at some good odds.Jeff

alydar_ David 07-14-2006 01:58 AM

Warning: Don't look at this, Jeff, if you only want to see the race via Energy!

Using other programs I've got six of the eight entrants as solid contenders by Total Energy and TPR.

This looks like a good betting race.

If #4 Fooler doesn't win on or near the front end at 12-1,

then #7 Wee David might catch him in the stretch at 6-1.

It'll be interesting to see this race. Looks like at least a four horse pace duel.

#6 Fredlea is the only Sustained horse and might pick up the pieces, but at 5/2 I'd only use him in the second and third spot, especially with that time off.

And there are some other groovy things about Wee David that won't show up on readouts:
  • Good trainer for this situation
  • Should do well if the track isn't fast
  • Best name :>)

Rxlawyer 07-14-2006 07:31 AM

Jeff:

First, look to see if Terms will really be that far back. If so, I would toss it. Low Med and high Lex will not work here. 5.96 MUV is virtually impossible to overcome. Fool appears to have an early advantage. The other three are closely matched. Wee has a slight advantage in the third fraction. I would call the race Fool, Wee, Act.

Gary

shoeless 07-14-2006 04:22 PM

Gary Thanks.Jeff

Houndog 07-14-2006 04:49 PM

Lightly Raced 9 year old
 
The #6 Fredlea should be well rested coming off of a 924 day layoff.

admin 07-14-2006 05:47 PM

For Jeff
 
Jeff I'm sorry but you know me
I can't help but have some fun

Act, Wee Fool !
act wee fool!
"EVERYBODY PLAYS THE FOOL":)

I did the race on Spec 160
My bets are the 4 and 8
I made a video of my work of the race
I will do the whole race in just over 4 minutes
while I played the Main Ingredients
hit from 1974 EVERYBODY PLAYS THE FOOL
http://bindfold.com/images/EverybodyJeff.wmv
This is for you Jeff

"And now you cry but when you do
next time around someone cries for you"


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