Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   When to disregard Best of Last Three (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=15091)

Lt1 09-22-2022 06:10 PM

Hi Bill. Ok first things first. To qualify as a Richie LSP a horse must be a NON-Contender that ranks in the top 5 of both VDC & CSR. How you use it is up to the player. I put $2 to win all the time. For me to use it in exotics I want to see some corollary support. Ok when I gave your top 3 horses all line 1 the 6 ranked 5th on CSR with no VDC rank. The 7 ranked 5th in both. Now if I change the 8 line 1 to the next best sprint line 3 the 6 now ranks 5th in both CSR &VDC and the 7 now ranks 4th in VDC & 5th in CSR[both qualify as LSPS] Checking the BL/BL SCREEN the 7 ranked 3rd in LPR & 2nd in both TT,HID. The 6 ranked 2nd in FX. In this case I would have put $2 win on both but used the 7 as the LSP because of more corollary support. Here are the the pace lines I used in both cases
Original Picks
#1 Line 1
#3 Line 2
#5 Line 1
#6 Line 3
#7 Line1
#8 Line 1
In the 2nd go round the 8 gets line 3 all the others stay the same. I hope that helps you
Tim

Lt1 09-22-2022 07:30 PM

Bill here are a few more things I would have done. The 6 was off a mdn win line so checking its' tt and found it was a terrible 7. I have found that if a mdn winner doesn't rank in the top 2 tt they normally don't win. Once in awhile a mdn contender with good #s and ranking 3 in tt will win. Also both the 6 & 7 both had balances over 8 and the 7 had too high % med to win. So I would not have used either in exotics.
Tim

Bill Lyster 09-23-2022 10:59 AM

Thanks Tim,

I will plug this info in for further study. Appreciate the extra effort.

Bill

Lt1 09-23-2022 12:40 PM

No problem Bill. This is what the sire is for.
Tim

ranchwest 09-25-2022 11:32 AM

I have my own line selection software and it also had the latest line on the three horses.


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