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ADJUSTED DATA

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ADJUSTED DATA

will update if scratches tomorrow

ALL users of RDSS are welcome to join in!

Hey Richie,

I am no expert with the software, but when I get some time in the morning I will try to work the race and post a few screen shots as well. I use the software differently, but what the heck, it would be boring if we all did things the same way.

Jim

PS...Hope your birthday was great

Dude you are a giant among men!

Jump in cause this race has the nightmare sprinters stretching out for ME.

Certainly didnt cherry pick this one.:)

looking forward to what you and others get here man
Richie

Wow, NW3L, none of these horses will be in the Breeder's Cup for sure. I chose a paceline that I felt was representative for each horse given the makeup of the race, then hid horses to get down to five using energy and primary line score. I remove 1 horse at a time and do not go past 100 days for a race line. When a race is full of horses off a layoff, I pass unless it is a mandatory contest race.

For me this race came down to the 1 and 4. The 1 is stretching out, has the rail going a route, and should get a relatively easy lead. Should be able to hold if not pressed too hard through the first 4 furlongs. The knock on the 1 is he has won only 1 race, so he is stepping up against winners of two races. I do feel the stretch out and key post position here will be a big help to him. The 4 came up strong on the software, as the pace line I chose, the horse made a nice middle move. At Tampa, I like to see horses on the lead or no further back than 4 lengths at the 4F mark in a route. 1 is 3-1 ML and 4 is 12-1 ML. I think the 1 is most likely to win but if the 4 is near his morning line I would be inclined to split the bet 60/40.

The two screens that I think tell the story are attached.

Jim

Screen Number 2. Nice pace ratings on the 1 for sure.

My look
 

I did race 2 from Tampa 022707
here is my work up

First my APV- CR for each hosre in the last two years
except # 8

1. 102.0% 1.27 ****** SR 78
2. 126.1% 0.89
3. 100.3% 1.28 ****** SR 68,72
4. 138.1 % 1.11 ******
5. 106.5 % 118.0 ****** 72 73
6 112.2 % 0.89
7. 119.8% 1.09 ********
8. 133.0% 1.06 Lifetime record only 2- 0 0 0 last to years

Here is horse 1 I make this horse a contender off the 3rd line

race 2 from Tampa 022707
 

Here is horse 2

race 2 from Tampa 022707
 

Here is horse 3 A strong contener
I used 2 lines Line 1 and 3 both from 7 furlong races
this is my early horse

race 2 from Tampa 022707
 

here is horse 4
APV and CR are good but with horse 3 in the race # 4 has not been able to do
well againts this pace I see no color in the 1st 2nd str Fin. numbers
The 72 SR for line 2 is ok but its still much slower than horse 1
and it has the faster pace to deal with four is a NC