Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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- Selections (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=12)

- - waggercapping (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=3034)

I shoud have just drove over to the Meadowlands
or down to Philly

thanks Ted
its not that bad now its more funny then anything

Betting a lot to make a little, or betting a little to make a lot. This is what has to be addressed. I maintain betting dutch to win over a years time is in fact betting a lot of money to make very little. Its not how you handicapp but how you bet that puts you where you really want to be. Michael Pizzolla's software is not what I would use, but under close observation folks using it focus on races that would have the potential to produce mutuals they know they have success in. So they train to look for where they do well in, and have a keen understanding of what to expect in a type of race and when. So take this from Michael Pizzolla's vantage point and use it with your software and you will do as good as he does or better. Be advised you will have to un-learn some things that are the cornerstone of the way you currently wager.

Quote:

Originally Posted by alydar_David (Post 24980)

Some tracks are suited for Wagercapping. MNR is a perfect example. Last night one of my "non-top picks" went off at a ridiculous price. I bet him and he won the first race paying $95.60.

There are some times you really feel like kicking yourself with this approach though. For example, in the third race at PEN last night I was torn between Casto and Domin for my second win bet. At two minutes to post:

Casto was 34-1
Domin was 26-1

So, I bet Casto to win; he had the longer odds of the two. Guess what happened? Domin won the race... paying 46-1 to 1! Ouch.

At some track Wagercapping doesn't work very well. Tracks like BM and CRC which are chalk city come immediately to mind. At those tracks you're better off making multiple race wagers -- daily doubles, Pick3s & Pick4s.

And here's a tip. You see more bombs come in on a full moon than you do any other time of the month. I always wagercap on a full moon. I've been doing it for years ever since I first noticed this phenomenon.

Last night was a full moon. You can expect more bombs today too. That's one bet you can take to the bank.

being a fresh water Bass fisherman for a while, Doug Hannon always said the best time was full moon days. reason was the extra light stirred up the food chain.