Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Thursday -- January 29, 2009 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=5097)

Tim Y 01-29-2009 01:05 PM

My so far the track is NOT running the late late late of late as Successful Affair had the only FAR reaching positives of that last race +12 and the opener went to an old track profile....Watch out, it may have changed again

Tim Y 01-29-2009 01:10 PM

confusing opener at GP could go to the TWO or one of three outside....not clear cut enough for a wager

If a horse doesn't have two fraction dominance, there is no choice however the 12 shows one race like that...still too confusing

Tim Y 01-29-2009 01:22 PM

if :2: runs anywhere close to Fla form it will tell us that that one is as the odds describe AND the track is closer to the way it used to be with EIGHT picking up the pieces late.



3rd race - Aqueduct - January 29, 2009
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
2 Even Raise 5.70 3.40 2.80
3 Mister Nobody 4.20 3.20
8 Stealth Missile 2.80

speed is returning there.

Tim Y 01-29-2009 01:39 PM

GP 2nd seems a contest amongst 9 2 6

opps NINE is going backwards

jms62 01-29-2009 01:40 PM

gp 1

:9:, :7:, :12:

Tim Y 01-29-2009 01:51 PM

odds board reflect reality in the AQU 3rd as :1: :3: are standouts
:5: might be able to last as well but there are no surprises here

Let's see HOW much earlier it has become if the top five EPR's come in this could be a riding the coat tails race.

RIDING THE COAT TAILS OF A FAIRLY SURE WINNER
4th race - Aqueduct - January 29, 2009
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
1 Just Another Story 3.30 2.70 2.40
2 Sage the Rage 8.20 6.30
9 Angelic Timber 17.80

$2 Daily Double 2-1 10.60
$2 Exacta 1-2 33.20
$2 Quinella 1-2 24.80
$2 Superfecta 1-2-9-3 5,137.00
$2 Trifecta 1-2-9 603.00

jms62 01-29-2009 02:07 PM

gp #3


:1:, :2:, :3:

Tim Y 01-29-2009 02:10 PM

:1: :2: :7: at the Stream in the 3rd some odds lots of questions

Tim Y 01-29-2009 02:20 PM

:1: :5: and beware the false speed from the three's PHA lines in the AQU 5th unless that track has gone to a mirror image of itself that three will fold up here

Tim Y 01-29-2009 02:25 PM

Mark Cramer describes what just happened in the 4th at Aqueduct in his great book "Eleven Exacta Situations."

When a lone front runner hightails it way out front, it is as if that is now mutually exclusive of the race within a race going on as the field sorts itself out far back from that lone speed. Interesting book


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