Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up (http://paceandcap.com/forums/index.php)
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RichieP 03-03-2006 07:52 PM

1 Attachment(s)
E/L graph

RichieP 03-03-2006 07:54 PM

Multi-Screening
 
1 Attachment(s)
The V/DC screen

NO "Improvers" as Bill would say

gathering all this data in

feeling comfortable from the start

ok

RichieP 03-03-2006 08:02 PM

The Final "Look"
 
1 Attachment(s)
here is bl/bl screen:

Impressions: First off the "ESP" in THIS race is mixed. Both "early" and "other than early" distinctions are present. So for ME with this existing PLUS no Improvers v/dc - bl/bl I can COMFORTABLY resort to old fashioned straight up WAGERCAPPING my tiers of bl/bl.

For YEARS my BOMB tier is tier THREE on bl/bl. YEARS and YEARS.

The Winner??

The tier THREE # 4 - $ 24.00


THERE ARE CERTAIN TRACKS AND SPECIFIC DISTANCES AND CLASSES WHERE THE SPEED RATINGS MAKE TOTAL SENSE. THEY MIMIC THE LOOK OF THE SOFTWARE BEFORE THE CHANGES HAPPENED ON 2/1.

Richie

admin 03-03-2006 08:38 PM

Rich
Perfect use of all the screens and a very helpful step by step
demonstration of a smallest stick on the L/E win a 6.0 sprint
and pay $24.00

Thanks Rich
your work really is helping me
I love your guts to post a complete race Not just selected readouts with no explanation
Good Skill
Bill

jms62 03-04-2006 07:43 AM

fyi Rich... The race you did was cancelled on Thursday and will be rerun as the 9th on 3/4... You have a chance to play it.

jms62 03-04-2006 07:58 AM

OK.. My performance has gone way down since about 2 weeks into the Trackmaster change. I looked at this race and what I found was very interesting. I won't draw any conclusions but it may be something TrackMaster Looks into. I found that on races run from around 1/27 on,for the most part SR are consistent with Beyer figs. On races run before that date the SR in some cases are 20+ points higher than the Beyers. Someone choosing one of those pacelines is asking for trouble. Wondering out loud here if there was/is a problem with Trackmasters process to Recalculate past races. I for one will be very wary of lines before 1/27...

2 Whoa
SR Beyer Date
69 66 1/27
68 46 1/14
84 61 7.30.05

4 Thir
SR Beyer Date
73 69 2/16
68 62 1/27
64 35 1/14

5 Toora
SR Beyer Date
71 66 2/06
68 63 1/27
66 55 1/6

7 Illus
SR Beyer Date
74 73 2/9
66 49 1/25
77 66 11/16/05

8 Brit
SR Beyer Date
70 63 2/9
55 21 1/25

9 Livel
SR Beyer Date
66 52 2/9
71 68 1/21
73 75 1/7

10Silv
SR Beyer Date
67 54 2/25
69 72 2/5
74 70 1/26

jms62 03-04-2006 08:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62
fyi Rich... The race you did was cancelled on Thursday and will be rerun as the 9th on 3/4... You have a chance to play it.

Sorry bout that.. It'll be rerun as the 1st on 3/4

RichieP 03-04-2006 08:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62
fyi Rich... The race you did was cancelled on Thursday and will be rerun as the 9th on 3/4... You have a chance to play it.

LMAO!

I just looked. Unreal. Brisbet is showing all the races ran but u are right. The horses shown dont match up witht eh entries!

well now when they actually run the race :eek: that 4 better win ha?

lmao

Thanx JM!

Richie

admin 03-04-2006 09:23 AM

Panic
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichieP
LMAO!

I just looked. Unreal. Brisbet is showing all the races ran but u are right. The horses shown dont match up witht eh entries!

well now when they actually run the race :eek: that 4 better win ha?

lmao

Thanx JM!

Richie

It will but will it pay $24.00 ?..
since we all know it
This is like a twilight zone TV show I remember.
Anyone remember the one were someone finds a camera that takes pictures of things that will happen 5 minutes later ?
They go to the track and take pictures of the tote board and bet on the horses that will win in 5 minutes he and two friends make a fortune oh but greed !!!
greed just like the grapes and the wolf :)

I'm nuts ..

Bill


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