Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   MNR 08-21-12 Races 2,3,5,7,9,10 Using The SYN 2 Conversion Module (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8612)

partsnut 08-21-2012 10:25 PM

Bill V.
Quote:

The question is can the 2 win going wire to wire or will it sit close enough and win OTE It only shows need the lead wins. With the 4 in the race will it get the lead or will it fight the 4 and will the 1 and 3 prevail ?
I have to pass this race as I'm looking for the 2 to do something It has not shown
the ability to do before
Bill, you bring up a very interesting point. What I look for here is the best sustained horse in the field. Although the (2) is a strong early type (E7) he has the best sustained numbers and as you eluded to, has the ability to wire the field.
An early type runner can also be the best sustained horse.

partsnut 08-21-2012 10:39 PM

Race-7
 
1 Attachment(s)
We got beaten by a surprise horse in the stretch.
Evidently, the horse liked the jockey change to a female jockey.
Must have been something up there.:D

Bill V. 08-21-2012 10:48 PM

Sustained
 
Hi Bill H.

Race 10 Should be a fun race to watch I also have the 4 as a E7
which eads me to ponder the 2's ability. I also sorted the race with SP
and the 2 is my top sustained pace horse. Also yes its true that a early horse going wire to wire will often show good sustained pace - that is if it gets a comfortable lead and then can conserve energy for the third fraction, Don't forget there is a great deal of EP in the SP calculation.
My query in this race is will the 2 have as easy a early trip today with the 4
in the race? RDSS and Syn say yes to the degree it is either 1-2 or 2-1 rated
Just for kicks I just ran the race in thoromation and it has the 4 winning and
the 2 second with the 1 and 3 close for 3rd, again no screens cause I have
a limited signal today

Bill V. 08-21-2012 10:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by partsnut (Post 83395)
We got beaten by a surprise horse in the stretch.
Evidently, the horse liked the jockey change to a female jockey.
Must have been something up there.:D

A rose exacta :o

partsnut 08-21-2012 10:59 PM

Bill V. Quote:
Originally Posted by partsnut http://paceandcap.com/forums/images/...s/viewpost.gif
We got beaten by a surprise horse in the stretch.
Evidently, the horse liked the jockey change to a female jockey.
Must have been something up there.:D


A rose exacta :o

Gee, if I would have seen that, my moms name was Rose. Shucks.
I still wouldn't have played it. :D

partsnut 08-21-2012 11:26 PM

Race-9
 
3 Attachment(s)
Race-9

We had the winner which was not worth a bet.

partsnut 08-21-2012 11:59 PM

Race-10
 
2 Attachment(s)
Race-10

I mentioned this to Bill V. in a prior response about this race and subsequently that slight difference won the race.
This difference did not come up with RDSS. At least not for me

Bill V. 08-22-2012 01:01 AM

The 8
 
Hi Bill

I was watching the race on TVG with a lady friend As soon as the 1 took that big lead I said to her the 2 is done, a long price horse will win this race.
I told her this is a win even though we have nothing on the race
A lot of people bet the 2 and lost money Why? The 2 is a need the lead horse

Thanks for this and all the races
Bill


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