Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Aldens_dad September (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8640)

Aldens_dad 09-10-2012 10:33 AM

9/10/2012 Suffolk Race 2
 
1 Attachment(s)
$50 W 1 & 2

comments below

Aldens_dad 09-10-2012 11:36 AM

9/10/2012 Suffolk Race 3
 
1 Attachment(s)
$60 W #6
$40 W #5

comments below

Aldens_dad 09-12-2012 02:48 PM

9/12/2012 PID Race 7
 
1 Attachment(s)
no comments until I win a race... that should spare anyone reading my BS.

Race 7 Presque

$50 W 7 & 2

Bill V. 09-12-2012 03:07 PM

not BS
 
AD

Nothing works all the time
so if you believe in what you do and you know it works
more often than not, its worth sharing
GS
Bill

Aldens_dad 09-13-2012 11:53 AM

9/3/2012 PID Race 8
 
1 Attachment(s)
thanks Bill but right now nothing is working for me...

$50 W on #2 & #5

Aldens_dad 09-13-2012 12:54 PM

9/13/2012 pid 6
 
1 Attachment(s)
$50 W 10 and 11

Bill V. 09-13-2012 01:56 PM

Hi AD about PID race 7 from WEDS

I don't want to second guess you after the fact. but you have the winner #5 ranked second. using a very comperable pace line, same distance surface and within the last 3 lines.
It looks like you went for the 7 and
2 because of the morning line odds
of 8/1 and they had 1 and 2 rankings in many readouts

What bothers me is that you went 4 back on the 2 horse, so line 1. 2 , 3
must be bad or uncomperable lines ? Is ok to go back but to a 5.0 turf line?

I know its easy to say now but I would have taken the $7.00 horse # 5
as my first win bet and the 7 as my second win/place bet because of its proven ability on the 6.0 poly
In real betting I would have hid the 3, and 6 and noted that the 4 was shaky The 4 appears to be
too fast too early with only 1's in EP, FW,and TT. If this horse was not the 0.0 horse in the first two panels of the segents screen or had an advantage on the EP- TPR readouts I would throw not throw out the 4 but note the pace would be faster than without it


Keep your chin up !
GS
Bill

Aldens_dad 09-16-2012 09:49 AM

I had that #5 staring right at me and chose to go with the higher ML picks. I know what your saying about picking a turf line I guess I was just trying to find an angle or a reason to bet this horse. I appreciate your feedback Bill and will try to be a little more disciplined and take what the readouts give me. I think I suffer from ADD...

Thanks for your your time!!!

Aldens_dad 09-16-2012 09:53 AM

9/16/2012 Belmont Race 2
 
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like the 6# here, don't really like to bet on maiden claimers but this one has some good things going for her.

$40 W 6
$60 P 6

Aldens_dad 09-16-2012 10:41 AM

9/16/2012 Belmont 3
 
1 Attachment(s)
another longshot shows promise here, #6 looks to be ready to light the tote board up...

$40 W #6
$60 P # 6


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