Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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RichieP 04-03-2006 02:43 PM

Screen 8
 
1 Attachment(s)
Summary screen

this shows a variety of screens and their readouts Gary. kind of an overview of everything that was shown before. Perfect for printing and taking to the track man.

just a couple of things that were not shown before

A- age of horse
TC - Track class of paceline used ( 1 being the highest Belmont, Del Mar, Saratoga etc)

"Lat/Ear" is the 2 screen
MUG is the 3 screen
TS and DEC is the 7 screen

Lower half

% Median - Median energy( similar to % early from Synergism days etc)
Bal - Balance
ESP - computer generated
TOTAL - Total Energy
PER-1 - Perceptor 1 - totals and rankings
PER-2 - perceptor 2 - totals and rankings
CBL - not really sure to be honest :confused:
LSD - the 5 screen

screen shot

RichieP 04-03-2006 02:50 PM

the "B" screen
 
1 Attachment(s)
Bottom line betting line screen with corrolaries shown

SUPP- Supplementary corrolaries are :
SPN - Sartin Pace number
TOT - Total Energy
ENT - Entropy or rate of deceleration
TS - True Speed
TPP - Total Pace Potential


FRAC - E-L-N
these are Fractals Gary and for the life of me I cant explain them. lol

Binder knows this VERY well so hopefully he can chime in as Doc showed him personally what the heck these things are :D

SCBL - second call beaten lenghts - this projects how far behind at the 2c a horse will be based on today's VELOCITY matchup of the pacelines used. This is velocity based NOT positional ok?

Hope this helps

Richie

shoeless 04-03-2006 05:54 PM

Richie,That was great what you just posted and I dont even use Spec.Believe me if I could understand it everybody will GREAT JOB.Jeff

Rxlawyer 04-03-2006 11:31 PM

Dear RichieP:

WOW!! DOUBLE WOW!!!!

Tahnk you so much. That is a GREAT HELP!!

Gary

Rxlawyer 04-06-2006 08:18 AM

My sincere gratitude for wonderful answers, especially from Richie.

I have at least one remaining question. In screen "B" what does "LSP" mean and what are fractals?

Thank you!

Gary

Rxlawyer 04-06-2006 08:43 AM

To All:

Can anyone tell me what "Pre" means as an ESP designation?

Thank you.

Gary

RichieP 04-06-2006 09:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rxlawyer
To All:

Can anyone tell me what "Pre" means as an ESP designation?

Thank you.

Gary


"Presser"

Rxlawyer 04-06-2006 09:32 AM

Richie:

Thank you! I can't believe that I didn't think of that. I kept thinking it was some kind of super early because of some of the numbers I was getting.

Gary

Ted Craven 04-06-2006 09:42 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Rxlawyer
Can anyone tell me what "Pre" means as an ESP designation?
Gary

The energy derived running styles (ESP designations) are a label given to a range of %Median values. In turn, %Median is the ratio of the velocities in the 1st 2 fractions to Total Energy (sum of all 3 fractions' velocities).

The ESP labels are

EAR - Early
E/P - Early Presser
PRE - Presser
S/P - Sustained Presser
SUS - Sustained
LAT - Late

Thus, a horse with %Med of 70, for example, disburses 70% of its total energy in the 1st 2 fractions and is designated Early. At the other end of the scale, a horse expending only 66% of it energy in the 1st 2 fractions is designated Late (i.e. 33% is available in the remaining fraction). A Presser would be somewhere in the middle of that.

As the labels imply, a Late horse has more energy left to disburse in the 3rd fraction than an Early horse, who had disbursed its energy rather earlier and has less left for later...

Again, these are energy disbursement styles, not positional running styles. You can see horses who like to run up front (if they can) but whose typical energy disbursement style does not necessary run Early.

I'd advise spending some time looking at the F4 Energy screen of the Past Performances and drawing some corelations between the ESP column and the %Med column. By doing this for just 1 race, you'll gain a feel of what ranges of %Med corespond to what ESP labels.

Hope this helps,

Ted

Rxlawyer 04-06-2006 09:48 AM

Dear Ted:

Thank you so much! I see what you mean by the correlation on the F4 screen.

Gary


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