Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

Page 2 of 3

Show 40 post(s) from this thread on one page

Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up (http://paceandcap.com/forums/index.php)

- Races of Interest (http://paceandcap.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=76)

- - Tampa Bay 2/5/14 R-9 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9636)

DontSayDont

02-05-2014 03:51 PM

I like the #4. Drops back in distance to where he has won 45%. Last race was a Starter Hcp and none of the horses in this field seem to be 100k types, so he may be taking a drop in class.

I would go 4-3-2 if I'm not out shoveling snow.

Ray

atkinsrr

02-05-2014 04:03 PM

yea...I also looked at the #4...he was borderline for me...if the #3 decides to put up one of the 43 second half miles again...don't think the 4 wants any part of that...but he is a possible at good odds

atkinsrr

02-05-2014 05:46 PM

The #3 pulled up on the backstretch the #7 had no excuse after running a 46.0 half..which helped the #2 to stay closer to the pace and win it late....I was lookin' for a 44.0 half ..didn't happen

Appy	02-05-2014 06:14 PM

2-7-6-4

Who is celebrating?

Bill Lyster

02-05-2014 06:24 PM

If only they were all this accommodating. Who knew the 3 would flake out at the start. Perfect outcome in my mind.

Bill V.

02-05-2014 06:25 PM

don't know

2 Attachment(s)

I don't know if he did or not but If we use FTL's guidelines
of a + or (+) within a zero within 90 days on a COMPARABLE
distance surface. The $14 winner #2 is the bet

Attachment 36685

Attachment 36686

The trouble I had with this race is there are so many layoffs and the horses best race way back in the PP"s Its a hard race to put all my trust in.

CaptDon100

02-05-2014 06:50 PM

I don't know if he did or not but If we use FTL's guidelines
of a + or (+) within a zero within 90 days on a COMPARABLE
distance surface. The $14 winner #2 is the bet

Can someone explain "(+) within a zero"
Thanks
Don

Appy	02-05-2014 07:31 PM

I didn't have the card, but just looking at what Segs posted I had the 2 and 8 as final contenders to include in exotics. 2 is 82% ITM lifetime (all but last 2 starts). I've known Jaime long enough to know you ignore his entries at your own peril. Didn't happen to pay this trip though.

Don, Bill does a good job on the +/(+) explanation, or you can find it in the Matchup. There's been lots of posts about it.

atkinsrr

02-05-2014 07:32 PM

way to go Bill !!!!!!!!!!

Segwin

02-05-2014 08:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill Lyster (Post 95430)

Agree that the 3 and 7 will duke it out. They have run fast three times, fought all the way with the 3 winning each time. No reason to think that will change as both have run as fast as 55.0 at this distance. Need someone to break them up, so I see the 2 who is most sustained and only running its 2nd turf sprint as possible interloper. Note it closed 7-5-4-3 in last and none of the other P/SP types looks to be able to close against fast early fractions. The 5 has best 5f time of about 57.4 against slower places, never ran against this fast a pace and is a ? mark (WO hardly ever runs this fast early in turf sprints, so until the horse faces this pace it remains an outsider for me.)

Value wise take the 2 to win, box 2-3-7 in exacta and tri and hope for a price.

All the best,

Beautiul Bill - well done. I bet 6 and 8 but Jamie scratched the 8. If Ness is in the game I'll either bet or forget depending on the value.

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:49 PM.

Page 2 of 3

Show 40 post(s) from this thread on one page