Exacta: 4-1 / 4-1-5-2

FWIW, I note that the a dutched 4-1 exacta box pays 2.25-1 at 0 MTP

Attachment 44778

too low
 

I think I will el paso

two low odds in my top 3 RX3
Attachment 44779

Hello Ted
 

Welcome back
In race 4 are you on fully automatic or are you handicapping?
im still trying to figure out how you separate to your top 4 win contenders

race 6 results
 

nice price on the 2

Attachment 44780

Automatic, just now. Check the email I sent you.

Essentially, keep Top 4 Rx3, reduce the rest to Secondary. This seems to miss very few winners Top 4. If a mid-tier odds (say, 5-10) I demoted to Secondary then appears with tote support in Tx1 or Tx2 (PW%), I'll investigate more closely, moving it back to Primary to see what's what. Also, not all Tx1 and Tx2 tote ranks appear to be created equal - doing some more research on this. I will try to make note if I manually deviate from the above (and there could be LOTS of reasons to do so).

Ted

Hi Ted


Here is what I get for race 7

I will rerun race 4 and report back
Bill

Attachment 44781

r7 contenders 92146. Going with 9 &2

Race 7
Contenders 1,6,9

6,9

Pook

I'll try 4-1

Attachment 44782

will go with top 2
 

9 and 6

the 4 is moving up in class after a loss and a claim

Right you are Bill.

Race 7
 

thank you Ted

I shoulda thrown in a nomorebochi special 7 in the 7th for a nice exacta :)
But hey a nice win right on top is all I need,

Attachment 44783

Thanks guys. I see nothing in the next two races so with the score in the 7th I will take my small profit from Parx for the day and sign off.

Pook

3 of us get the 9 but no ex. I had a Jimmy ex 1st and 3rd lol. Nice job Bill and Pook.
Tim

Race 8
 

Feature race Ortiz stays around, A "brooks" spot play
But I think its a neg dropper after a 254 day layoff but the BVD is a healthy 193

Attachment 44784

r8 contenders 95783. Going to go 9 & 5

Way to go
 

Good Job today Mike

way to go

Bill

At lass than EVEN odds, the #7 should rank more highly on the Rx line. Thus, a bet against. Going with 9-5 for the Win. 9-5-7-3-8 underneath. #8 WPS across (bet and forget).

Attachment 44785

which way you going Billy
 

me too I will take my race 7 hit and bank it and go to the smaller bets
on the 9 and 5

They cant stop those
 

Pace and Cappers at Parx :)

For the record, Bill V, I made several manual overrides to 'automatic': demoted both #8 and #10 from Primary due to terrible Odds (despite a BAF bet on #8 due to not terrible form ...).

Also, I attempted to give the heavy favourite #7 every benefit of the doubt by re-casting its CSR to eliminate that last line, which didn't really help it.

At that point, I went with he Top 4 Rx3.

For the record.

Ted

Happy 8th
 

Solid top two selection for win and exacta

Attachment 44787

Well done all on Race 7 earlier! Congratulations Bill and Tim in the 8th. I like it when I don't talk myself out of low-hanging fruit ;)

Ted

Man the hammered those two in the last 2mins but I'll take a $9 winner and $26 ex all day long. Nice job Bill.
Tim

Understood
 

Thanks Ted

Nice wagercapping and use of all your tools

Was rooting for your 8 for a piece

Win 4-2
Exacta 4-2 / 4-2-1-6

As with the last race, no reason to fear the favourite #6: it should be higher on the Rx line. I predict it won't be PW%=1 at post time.

Attachment 44788

Final
 

I think i will wrap up the day with another small bet

The 9 a FTS is dead at 5 minutes to post on the tote

The 2 4 and 6 look solid

I will wager cap these 3 and keep an eye on the FTS on the tote

Attachment 44789

Race 9 weak mdn field my contenders are 4-2E-6-8-1. Going to pass not enough odds to justify the risk. It's been fun.
Tim

At post time, I would make a small WPS bet on the #1, due to good tote info.