| clore1030 |
08-31-2009 07:34 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tim Y
(Post 59306)
I have given up win betting in favor of the shotgun with randomness sprinkled in.
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I've gone the other route - I only bet one horse to win. I've set minimal acceptable odds as well as isolating either EP types with a significant advantage or else horses that fit the model of the last three days in at least two of the primary factors.
During the whole Belmont meet I played only 46 races, a number that I equaled today at the Spa. But at Belmont I had 31% winners at an average of $12.44.
At the Spa I'm at 22% and averaging a $10.20 mutuel. Only a slight progression helped me to turn a profit today, but I'll retreat now to flat bets for the rest of the meet, if I play at all. Increasing the bet size takes me out of my comfort zone.
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