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-   -   Ted Craven - September (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8680)

Ted Craven 09-25-2012 04:19 PM

Cody,

A pleasure.

An addendum, on reflection and FWIW, you may ask why - if my top 3 BL horses were 7-2-3 and the the 7 and 3 Morning Line in the neighbourhood of 3-1 while the #2 was ML 5-1 - did I not bet the #7 and #2 instead of the #7 and #3 which I actually bet.

Consult the PPs above, to see that the #2 is a recent Maiden graduate after many tries and the only line which makes it look ANY good is its Maiden Win (line 2, which I used), its best-ever rating. Normally I would like to rate recent Maidens from what they have done against other Winners and perhaps I should have here, given the result. Its last race against Claiming winners was a credible effort though against a slow pace, not an effort which would rate it well against the other potential Contenders.

When I came to decide which 2 of the Top 3 BL ranked horses would I bet, this recent Maiden status weighed in my decision making and I judged that between the 2 and 3, the numbers for the 3 were more founded in races against today's caliber of competition, and thus more reliable. I recall I left the #2 in the Primary Contender section, despite the afore-mentioned weaknesses, because it possessed the MOST LATE E/L rating of the Contenders and may be the one to collect against any tiring early pace. Perhaps an inconsistency on my part, in this instance.

FWIW.

Ted

Ted Craven 09-26-2012 01:45 PM

2 Attachment(s)
Wednesday Sept 26

BEL Race 1
...$50 Win 7, 2

Win.

Attachment 30530

Attachment 30531

Ted Craven 09-26-2012 03:56 PM

BEL Race 5
$50 Win 1-3

Ted Craven 09-26-2012 04:10 PM

2 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ted Craven (Post 84367)
BEL Race 5
$50 Win 1-3

Loss.

Attachment 30539

Attachment 30540

Ted Craven 09-26-2012 05:02 PM

BEL 7
$50 Win 3
$25 WP 6

Ted Craven 09-26-2012 05:16 PM

BEL 8
$50 Win 2, 8

Ted Craven 09-26-2012 05:24 PM

2 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ted Craven (Post 84372)
BEL 7
$50 Win 3
$25 WP 6

Loss.

Attachment 30544

Attachment 30543

Ted Craven 09-26-2012 05:47 PM

2 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ted Craven (Post 84373)
BEL 8
$50 Win 2, 8

Win.

Attachment 30546

Attachment 30547

Ted Craven 09-26-2012 06:02 PM

BEL Race 9

$25 WP 3
$50 Win 12

Ted Craven 09-26-2012 06:33 PM

2 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ted Craven (Post 84377)
BEL Race 9

$25 WP 3
$50 Win 12

Loss.

Attachment 30548

Attachment 30549


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