Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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Ted Craven 04-06-2006 10:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rxlawyer
In screen "B" what does "LSP" mean and what are fractals?
Gary

LSP means Long Shot Potential. If my memory serves me, this is a remnant from the older Quad Rater program, one readout from which measured how a horse itself ran against the pace of the race (i.e. the leader(s) during each fraction). The theory was that a horse who ran well against a faster pace, deserved credit even if it finished rather poorly. If it can face a slower pace today, it may reveal some hidden potential which may be masked by its apparently poor finish in the given previous race, hence the 'long shot'.

Your mileage may vary! It is basically the sum of the ratios between the pace of horse and pace of race for each fraction (with some other voodoo thrown in...). What is shown on screen is a ranking of that number.

Fractals

Again, these are remnants of an even earlier program named - 'Fractals' (!), which sought to blend energy distribution over finer fractions of the race than the given 2f increments (in sprints) or various other distance fractions in routes. The 3 designations Fr-Early, Fr-Late Fr-Normal are respectively a blending of 'portions' of each race fraction with more emphasis on the race portion pertinent to each category (e.g. Fractal Early has more measures of the early fractions than does the Fractal Late, which has more measures of the final fraction, etc).

Some people model these categories profitably. The same information may also be seen (more or less) by tracking the EPR LPR 2ndCall readouts.

Hope this helps,

Ted

admin 04-06-2006 10:53 AM

Fractals
 
1 Attachment(s)
Thanks Ted

I sort of zoned out with my answer

I can sort of explain it this way

Looking at the # 3 screen on Speculator

The race is to a linear way of thinking is divided into 3
parts

1 F - 2F - 3 F = Total pace

On the 3 screen we see a solid line
Our minds might think seeing this of course weknow it doesn't that the Early is the 1 f The middle is the 2 f and the Late is the 3F

Doc sort of took those 3 breaks and measured them as a sub

like a Z pattern a little 1F mixed into a little 2F

Look at horse 8
It has a 2 1f andd a 2- 2F
I don't have the BL/BL screen availible yet I will check it out
when I get home
But I am kind of sure that the 8 not the 3 is the # 1 Early Fractal
because of the strong readouts in both fractions as opposed to
the 3 who drops quickly to 7th then 6th
oh wait Richie did post the bl/bl and Yes the 8 dominates all three fractals



The Early Fractal is not the 3 in fact the 3 is 5th Thats because its
Looking at the Early energy Potentail screen rankings on the Energy generator I see the 8 is # 1 and the 1 is # 2
also the 2 is the counter energy Early stick on the Late early
with a 3 - 3 readout on the 3 screen
but is rated 7th on Early and Normal Fractals

Thats what Doc told me Its a combiination ratings taking readouts from mutible Fractions against themself

like a Z patern not a line

Ted Craven 11-03-2007 11:45 AM

This older Speculator topic has some useful descriptions of factors appearing in Speculator (and Validator and RDSS).

Ted


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