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-   -   Layoffs? (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=13937)

dlivery 07-15-2021 12:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MJS6916 (Post 135949)
Beginners & Refresher Course

http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=12316


I took most of my notes starting from page 5, post #46

http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthr...t=12316&page=5


Good luck

Thank You
for the instant results :)

ranchwest 07-15-2021 02:11 AM

Tim, I can see where one would need to adapt to changes, but it looks like some valuable information. It is perilous on a muddy track, though. I am sure you know that.

Lt1 07-15-2021 09:44 AM

Yes Ranch off tracks can prove tough but I have found that the stronger contenders still usually prove best unless they have shown that they can't handle the off track.
Tim

ranchwest 07-15-2021 10:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lt1 (Post 135984)
Yes Ranch off tracks can prove tough but I have found that the stronger contenders still usually prove best unless they have shown that they can't handle the off track.
Tim

Spot on! I have been away from handicapping for a while, so I am paper betting on whatever is on YouTube. Yesterday, the track was at that awful drying out stage and all the frontrunners in a race slowed to a crawl and this always late horse comes from out of the clouds. So, I am inclined to look for a similar horse after that and, just as you say, they all ran fairly normally after that race. Ha! As always, thanks for your help.

ranchwest 07-15-2021 11:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lt1 (Post 135977)
Hi Ranch. It's strictly case by case. When a horse has 3 instances I mark it as at early or late. When it hits 4 then I mark it too early or late. In some races all of your contenders will be at or above the %med level for the dist. In that case fall back to the other factors that are winning at that track. This is why, IMO, record keeping is important.
Tim

Do you have separate standards for %M for turf and dirt? Or do you employ this on turf?

MJS6916 07-15-2021 01:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ranchwest (Post 135950)
Thanks, MJS6916!


Quote:

Originally Posted by dlivery (Post 135981)
Thank You
for the instant results :)


No problem guys. Glad to help when I can.

Knock'em dead at the windows.

Lt1 07-15-2021 04:17 PM

Ranch I keep a win and place model by surface and dist for each track I play. So yes I employ %med for turf races.
Tim

ranchwest 07-15-2021 07:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lt1 (Post 136007)
Ranch I keep a win and place model by surface and dist for each track I play. So yes I employ %med for turf races.
Tim

Thanks!

I think I must be learning well. I won't go overboard with the red boarding, but let's just say I had an incredible day paper bet picking Saratoga today.

Mr.Pagine 07-21-2021 10:48 PM

Great Posts and Comments
 
Today I played Delaware, and I learned to trust the process, it worked fantastic.
These posts helped me a TON.

Happy Punting,
Jon


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