Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - PEN

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- - PEN - Nov 24 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=6327)

Race #6

Attachment 18202

Win #5, #4

Exacta Box #2, #4, #5

Quote:

Originally Posted by BJennet (Post 61723)

Hi sql,

This should better be answered by Bill or Ted, but I do believe that the colors stand for Average Purse Value rank. Best of the last 3 at same distance or surface is standard Sartin practice, but I will go back a bit further if I don't find a comparable within those limits, and the timeframe is within reason - for me 90-100 days. Also, on turf races, many, myself included, use the Pizzola window - the best race in the full (visible) record. I am a value player, so for me, the odds are key. It would be better if others here answered that question. Best of luck.

Cheers,

B Jennet

Scott, oops - just re-read your 1st question more clearly. BJ is almost right - it's the Class Rating (CR) shown on the Entries screen, which is part APV, part consistency.

Ted

Race #6

Attachment 18203

Hide the favourite, bet the next 2 (not what I did).

Thanks for the heads-up

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ted Craven (Post 61726)

Scott, oops - just re-read your 1st question more clearly. BJ is almost right - it's the Class Rating (CR) shown on the Entries screen, which is part APV, part consistency.

Ted

Hi Ted,

AFAIK that feature isn't included in Spec 160, no?

hey Scott

Listen to Ted and many other good posters here read your follow ups and manuals and you will be a winner
The three best things you can use to make final decisions in RDSS
1. Odds
3. VDC
3. The Early/ Late Graph

By the way Scott is a long time member of our group
Way back in the beginning when Pace and Cap
was just a small yahoo group named VDC Messenger
with just a small membership
Scott helped put us on the map with a plug on
Pace Advantage.com and set us off on our way

Thanks for your help Scott

Bill

Quote:

Originally Posted by BJennet (Post 61728)

Hi Ted,

AFAIK that feature isn't included in Spec 160, no?

No, it's not.

Race 7 - nightmare city - pass

OK, I have to retire for the night. Hope some more good ones come along for the rest before the end of the evening.

I bet against several favourites who beat me - no shame there. I over-handicapped due to the slop, a bit, and logistically over-reached a bit tonight posting and betting at the same time. Not an excuse at all, but just my quick post-mortem of my practice tonight. Normally, I work my races in silence and concentration. I'll go back over each race and decision, and already I can see that sticking with the top 2 or 3 BL/BL and hiding low-odds favourites was either pretty close to or actually was a positive ROI win betting tonight. The slop and scratches and reworking my races, and babbling on the phone with my Mum, made it a bit more work than normal.

Scott - hope there are some possibilities here for you. Watch ALL the videos - download and work the races. Even this card, after the fact. Mock up your own paceline selections after the ones I posted, but feel free to challenge my choices and see what moving parts were involved in these decisions.

Despite a 'losing' evening, I notice that I feel emotionally even-keeled, which is a good thing. We can communicate privately about follow up from here.

Have a good evening, BJennet, and Bill, and Scott. Mum, nice time spent on our game tonight!

Cheers,

Ted

Thanks for the exchange

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ted Craven (Post 61732)

Take care, Ted, and best to everyone.

Thanks Ted

Like Howard said

"Tommorrow will be better '''and it will