Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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rmath 07-23-2011 07:55 PM

Mnr revised
 
With this revised method you are hitting 25% to 30% of your plays, I know this may seem low to some but the potential return on your investment would be fantastic for such a mechanical approach. The only problem is , if 10 to 20 other people do the same, this would probably drive down your average mutual, especially at a track like MNR.
I used to play MNR almost exclusively many years ago, but I switched to some of the day time tracks, like DEL. Suffolk. Finger Lakes, TDN, RD, and BEU.
Thanks for posting this information , I know a lot of work went into it.
rmath

gl45 07-23-2011 08:14 PM

rmath,
MNR tonite

race #1
contenders 7-8/6-2

#1 seems to be the fav, no bet. Odds can change fast tho.

gl45 07-23-2011 08:29 PM

race 1
#7 was the fav and is eliminate
8-6-2 ex box and a loss.

Dave Schwartz 07-24-2011 12:36 AM

Quote:

The only problem is , if 10 to 20 other people do the same, this would probably drive down your average mutual, especially at a track like MNR.
People always say that publishing your ideas will kill the prices and yet typically you could round up a roomful of the guys who are reading this and between them there would not be an extra $100 in the pool on the winning tickets.

Historically, when I have improved my approach and gone on to something new, I have shared my previous method with my users. To date, nobody has ever said, "I am doing exactly what you described and I am making money with it."

Perhaps it is because the real winning players have a need to "do it their way."

Dave

rmath 07-24-2011 01:04 AM

Dave
 
Dave, I am not advocating not sharing ideas, I think very highly of anyone who does this. I was only pointing out a "what if " scenario knowing full well that very few would follow up on this case at MNR. The number of plays per day would keep 99% of most players from doing the work required to get one or two plays at one track. Most players I know want more action than that.
rmath

Dave Schwartz 07-24-2011 01:23 AM

I totally agree with what you are saying.

I have tried for years to get people to collaborate more. They rarely will.

Dave

gl45 07-25-2011 09:02 AM

2 Attachment(s)
Thanks to Ted for fixing my errors in tabulating the data.
MNR 2010 & 2011 (so far) with corrected results.

gl45 07-25-2011 09:50 AM

any software (free will be nice) that would show real time odds and ex payouts?

Ted Craven 07-25-2011 10:37 AM

Pino, could you clarify? Your ADW shows this info, but you must mean something else.

(If you mean shows tote info along side NewPace info, well, RDSS2 does show that ...)

Ted

gl45 07-25-2011 05:35 PM

Ted,
figuring out how much the EX will pay at 1 minute or less at post with 4 contenders you better be fast or good bye., but thanks anyway.


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