Agreed Tim, how winning horses distribute their energy to the 2nd call point by distance (aka Median energy %) will always be a major tell about who is a prime contender and who is not. Thanks for emphasizing this.


Ted

I also used 3 Energy Percentage F1, F2, F3 readouts surrounding %Med. Please keep it Thank-you.

I don't go back far enough in Sartin Methodology times
to have even heard of pace vectors.

After my break from handicapping, I saw those numbers
for the first time in RDSS yesterday. They seem interesting.

Thanks for the explanation guys in page 6 of this thread
http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthr...t=15329&page=6.

Mike

2023 - Kentucky Derby
 

Hi Mike,

Glad you found it useful.

I did not play the Kentucky Derby, I usually do poorly in Grade 1 races, and I have little to no experience handicapping Churchill Downs, but after the race, when I looked at my contenders to see how they did, I noticed something about the Pace Vector F3's.

Ranked in order of who over came the 3rd fraction of their last race the best, I show the top 5 in order as:

8 Mage
14 Angel
1 Hit Sh
3 Two Ph
22 Mandar

The top 4 horses on this list were 4 of the top 5 finishers in the Derby. The 5th, Mandarin Hero's comment says he was bumped hard, don't know if that played a role in his bad finish or not.

Like I said, I do not normally handicap 10f races or Churchill Downs races, so I do not know if this is normal, but it seems like a strong indication that the F3 Pace Vector was something to consider.

Attached are my RDSS read out and the chart