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-   -   Fairgrounds March 14th (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10389)

Latekick 03-14-2016 01:14 PM

Fairgrounds March 14th
 
Well, although i have been keeping up with threads and reading new posts, it has been a while since i myself have posted here. I dedicated 6 months to focus mainly on playing paper and keeping very strict records of my play. I noticed that by posting on this site and keeping up with it regularly that i often began to switch up strategy from day to day on how i will play the races. Nothing against this site at all, i have learned so much from Ted and everyone here, i just thought it was necessary for me to take a few months to myself and put together everything that i have learned and find what really works for me. Well, 6 months later i am very happy with my personal stats and my success using RDSS2.
With all that aside, i had a very good Friday through Sunday last week, and with the Fairgrounds running today i figured i would do a race by race just to get my name back onto this site and play along with some of you guys out there today. Today won't be any serious betting for me. Im sitting here at the OTB waiting 10 more minuets for the first at Fairgrounds, and hope to make a little bit of money today, but mainly to have a little fun after 6 months of so much strict play and dedication to the proccess. I will be posting race 1 shortly, have a good day fellas.

Latekick 03-14-2016 01:18 PM

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Race 1: #1,#5,#6 Interest me.
Im still a little hesitant to play the #5 because his line is a Maiden win, and although this is a NW2/L i still don't love using Maiden lines.
#1 sits at 2/1 right now, and the #6 at 4/1. The #5 is 12/1
I will most likely bet the #1 and #5 and try to incorporate the #6 into an exacta.

Latekick 03-14-2016 01:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Latekick (Post 102791)
Race 1: #1,#5,#6 Interest me.
Im still a little hesitant to play the #5 because his line is a Maiden win, and although this is a NW2/L i still don't love using Maiden lines.
#1 sits at 2/1 right now, and the #6 at 4/1. The #5 is 12/1
I will most likely bet the #1 and #5 and try to incorporate the #6 into an exacta.

#1 dropped to 7/5
Win bet on #5 and #6

Latekick 03-14-2016 01:34 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Latekick (Post 102792)
#1 dropped to 7/5
Win bet on #5 and #6

Ill take 18/1 to start my day off.
:)

mowens33 03-14-2016 01:39 PM

Liking it!!

Latekick 03-14-2016 01:44 PM

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Thanks Mowens!

Quick rundown of Race 2:
The #8 will be heavy favored and if he wins, he wins, but if i play this race I'm going to play against him. the #1, #2, #4 interest me.
#1 at 10/1, #2 at 12/1, and #4 at 5/1
That first race boosted me close to $400 so i have some money to voice my opinion here against the fav. My top two choices are the #1 and #4, but i will see how the odds play out. Have to leave the OTB for now but will be back home just after the second race. We'll see what happens.

raceman5 03-14-2016 01:56 PM

Very
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mowens33 (Post 102794)
Liking it!!

Nice hit!!!!!!!!!


Bob

Latekick 03-14-2016 02:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Latekick (Post 102795)
Thanks Mowens!

Quick rundown of Race 2:
The #8 will be heavy favored and if he wins, he wins, but if i play this race I'm going to play against him. the #1, #2, #4 interest me.
#1 at 10/1, #2 at 12/1, and #4 at 5/1
That first race boosted me close to $400 so i have some money to voice my opinion here against the fav. My top two choices are the #1 and #4, but i will see how the odds play out. Have to leave the OTB for now but will be back home just after the second race. We'll see what happens.

Thanks Raceman

Okay race #2 my top choice #4 scratched at the gate.
#1 and #3 would be my selections now, but no bet just because i don't have time to drive back to the OTb and I'm in the process of putting my $400 in my home account.
See you in the 3rd!

The Pook 03-14-2016 02:14 PM

Late,

Good to have you back! The 5 in the 1st beat my 6 and 7. I can see how you had him. Good for you. I was going to be on the 4 in the 2nd but as you said was scratched and the 8 won easily.
I understand what you mean above about players playing different ways on this site. The grass always seems greener on the other side and one is tempted to try everything. But every method has its own winners and losing streaks and nobody wins them all. It takes time but gradually you find what works for you.

Good Luck,
Pook

The Pook 03-14-2016 02:20 PM

Does anybody have insight into the 3rd? I can't get a hold of it. I pass.

Pook

The Pook 03-14-2016 02:37 PM

Dirt sprinter with no turf experience wins the 3rd. Staying away from that one was "da proper tang" to do.

Pook

The Pook 03-14-2016 02:49 PM

Can you really go against the favourite lone early in the 4th? Can't be on it nor against it IMHO.

Pook

Latekick 03-14-2016 02:53 PM

Quick update on race 4, sorry about race 3 i was having compute problems
race 4 i am going with #3 and #6
Will post again shortly

Latekick 03-14-2016 02:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Pook (Post 102800)
Dirt sprinter with no turf experience wins the 3rd. Staying away from that one was "da proper tang" to do.

Pook

Pook, you re right! Some horses are good not to have. It would be a guessing game if i would have had that horse. Luckily i passed the 3rd and I'm glad i did.

Latekick 03-14-2016 02:56 PM

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Okay race 4#3, #4, #6 Interest me
I am going to win Bet on the #3 and #6
Heres the readouts

The Pook 03-14-2016 03:02 PM

Almost there Late!

Latekick 03-14-2016 03:02 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Well, get necked out on the wire by the 1/5 is never fun especially when the #6 was 8/1, but hey its racing. On to the next one!

Latekick 03-14-2016 03:09 PM

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Race 5 looks like a pass for me. Not really much turf form or not enough for me at least. The #4, #6, #8 interest me all at very good prices right now
#4 at 9/2, #6 at 10/1 and #8 at 30/1 which should come down.
Great prices but not sure i can trust these horses all with dirt lines and no turf lines. Race 5 is a pass, and if the #6 or #8 wins, ill have to swallow that pill, and it sure will be a tough pill to swallow! Heres race 5

The Pook 03-14-2016 03:15 PM

I concur.

Pook

Latekick 03-14-2016 03:33 PM

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Good pass, another favorite wins easy, horses with no turf lines were nowhere.

Latekick 03-14-2016 03:35 PM

Race 6 is a lower level MC race with lots of horses who have yet to show anything at all. Im going to take a shot with the #9 if she goes 3/1 or higher. If not, this is an easy race to pass, not much in this field.
#9 in race 6 at 3/1 or better

The Pook 03-14-2016 03:37 PM

Not one horse has ever had a lead at the first two calls. Tough to find a handle here.

Pook

Latekick 03-14-2016 04:05 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Another pass that payed off. Liked the 9 but ended up going off at 5/2 not 3/1 minimum i had on the race so took the pass. The 7 was a tough horse to get anyway.

Latekick 03-14-2016 04:07 PM

I have to go take care of some errands and not sure how long i will be away. I will post what i have for the rest of the day and post the results when i make it back home.

Race7: #2, #3, ALT #8
Race 8: #1, #8 ALT #5
Race 9: #2,#9 NO ALT
Race 10: #5, #11 NO ALT

Latekick 03-14-2016 06:16 PM

2 Attachment(s)
All in all was a good day. Played 8 races and hit 5 of them. Here are the results for the races i missed watching while i was gone.
Good Monday racing, can't wait until Thursday. Have a good week everyone.

Latekick 03-14-2016 06:17 PM

2 Attachment(s)
Heres the last two.

Latekick 03-14-2016 06:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Latekick (Post 102814)
All in all was a good day. Played 8 races and hit 5 of them. Here are the results for the races i missed watching while i was gone.
Good Monday racing, can't wait until Thursday. Have a good week everyone.

Im sorry, was looking at the wrong notes. I played 6 races today and hit 3.

sureshotlink 03-14-2016 07:00 PM

Thank you for posting this race L.K

The winner although 4th ranked on BL/BL is Tied for #1 on VDC. Not to mention it runs counter energy to the rest of your contenders.

You get all this at a price!!!


Works for me....:)

Continued success,

Paul Link
Los Angeles,Ca

Eddybugsy 03-22-2016 07:42 PM

What steered you away from the 7?
race 1

Latekick 03-22-2016 11:45 PM

Eddybugsy,

Good question and i will be happy to answer. What steered me away from the #7 in race 1 was the fact that he was MOST definitely the speed of the speed, but had never shown the ability to finish in the stretch. As a 4 yr old he had only held onto a lead once in his whole career, and that was his maiden win, all other efforts he fades badly in the stretch. He was the fastest horse early, meaning all other speeds were going to have to chase him. He was running to fast, to early, and killing both his shot and any other horse chasing him shot. So, i decided to bet the #5 and the #6, the two best horses at closing ground. 5 wins in the last 1/16th or so of a mile, and pays great. Thats just the way i saw the race. Hope that helped.

Eddybugsy 03-23-2016 07:15 PM

Makes perfect sense
Thank you

Latekick 03-23-2016 08:52 PM

No Problem!


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