Kentucky Derby undercard
 

I will be paying close attention to the Kentucky Derby undercard, as many solid overlay opportunities usually exist in several races. I don't know if it is the crowd, the competitive races, shippers, or a combination of these factors.

Other opinions on this are most welcome.

Houndog:

You are talking my kind of language. I had asked Richie to assit in firing up the troops in coming together with plays for the whole Churchill Day ndercard. Last year the rolling Pick 3's and Pick 4's were huge pay-outs. I would love to get my hands on some of that $$$$. I will do my part to post my hadndicapping selections for that day. I will be the first to admit I don't know that much about how Churchill plays as my area of expertise is strickly the west coast tracks. SO I am in with whatever I can do. Here's hoping others share with their knowledge!

Dap!

Dap, I think your expertise would translate well in any track you decided to play.

Churchhil Undercard
 

Thank you for the compliment, we just gotts get the "Italian Stallion", Bill The Admin, and everybody else to bring it on! As we say in the hood "Can You Feel Me"

Dap!

DRF has now posted the entire undercard for Churchill Saturday. I understand the Trackmaster will have the PP's files ready for download this evening as well. Bill (admin), Richie, Russ (Kiltman),Tompkins(Dr.),Houndog, RxLawyer,Chris(Maiden), Shoeless, (Jeff), Turbulator, Ted (Mr. Craven) , and everyone else who I either do not know by name or handle but are members here IT IS TIME TO GET BUSY!! Lets put our heads together and come up with the winners for the undercard.

DAP!

Dap, thanks for the heads up on Trackmaster. That gives everyone plenty of time to work this card. Hope all of us can take some of that Saturday money with us.

Woodford Reserve Turf Classic 9th Race
 

With the exception of the Kentucky Derby I have not worked this card yet. Although these comments do not have anything to do with pace I just have some initial observations. We have a 4 year old filly named Gorella going against the guys. After researching this horse I see that it ran a good third to Artie Schiller and Leroidesanimaux in last years Breeder's Cup mile. Prior to that she ran a good second to Starcraft in the Prix du Moulin de Longchamp in France. Cacique was also in this race and finished 7th out of nine entrants.
This was a Group 1 race.The comments were she finished fast and she does her best work late on. Will have to see her past performances to see what she has been doing lately.

BEWARE I bet this horse in the Breeders Cup when she again ran against the boys. She is for real!

Humana Distaff Churchill Downs 8th
 

Dap, looks like a few California based horses entered here. A.C. Avila shipping in from California. Since you are familiar with the California circuit any comments on any of the horses would be most welcome.

Brother Dog:

Bobby Frankel's horse Cacique looks tough!. He did run in a race back of the 4th of September at Longchamp France (Equivelent to Saratoga) and lost to the filly Gorella. Frankel is dangerous anywhere he and P. Val show up. Keep this one in your radar. Tranier James Cassidy's go to guy when he has a live mount is Kent Desourmeaux. I would pair my bets or plays in this race to Carique and Gorella!

Churchill 7th Race
 

Team: Can a few folks take a look at the 7th at Churchill for Saturday and put their comments / handicapped selections up for review. This race looks pretty tough. I know Shoeless is good at these Turf races. This one has upset spelled all over it in my ipinion. It appears there could be a lot of early speed. Would appreciate readng what others think about this particular race.

Dap!

Dap,I wont be much help here as it looks like Wend overmatches this field.She is the only Grade 2 stakes winner here on the turf and now she is running in Grade 3.Prado fits her like a glove and last time out came home in 29 sec,very tough to beat here.Jeff

race 7
 

hello
came up with
3
1
2
8
4
yes 2 will be tough. plus a mott horse
john

Hand Calcualtions
 

First let me say that I hope that my enthusiasm towards one horse in particular has not thrown anyone else off their particular selection. I have made freinds here and I hope after tomorrow win or lose with my selections to win the Kentucky Derby, I still have my friends i made here. Below is my hand calculations of the Derby Cointenders as I see them and pretenders listed below with my reason for calling them pretenders:

Derby Undercard Conteders with Hand Calculations
 

Here are my preliminary contenders for undercard: Race 1 omitted too tough to handicap:

Derby Undercard Conteders with Hand Calculations
 

Third Screen

Final Set:
 

Last Two races:

Feel free to ask me any questions. From this point I will input my contenders list into Speculator and let my hanidicapping and Spec be my guides!

Sincerely,

Dap

PS: I do not want be accused of REDBOARDING by Richie

Race 2 Screen 1
 

Screen 1 race 2 in Speculator

Race 2 Screen 2
 

This is screen 2 speculator

Race 3
 

Race 3 screen 1

Race 3
 

Race 3 Screen 2

CD Race 4
 

Race 4 BL screen

CD 4 screen 2
 

Speculator Screen

CD Race 5
 

BL Screen Race 5

CD 5 Screen 2
 

Second Screen race 5

CD Race #7
 

First Screen

CD 7 Screen 2
 

CD 7 screen 2

CD7 Screen 3
 

Anothe Screen Here

CD Race 8
 

Race 8 Screen 1

CD 8 screen 2
 

Screen 2

CD 8 Screen 3
 

The Mug Screen 3

CD Race 9
 

First Screen

CD Race 9
 

Second Screen

CD Race 9
 

Third Screen

CD 9 Final Screen
 

Final Screen

On the advice of counsel I respectfully refuse comment on this on the grounds that my answer will DEFINITELY tend to incriminate me.

"There are 2 kinds of trial lawyers in this country. Everyone else and ME." - Roy Cohen - 1982

My Churchill Race 5 Readouts
 

Race Five looks a little sppoky to me. Here are my readouts

Race 5 Cont:.
 

Race 5. Cont:

Whats concerns me in this race is the fact that there is a lot of early E/LP and whe nyou look at the L/LP the picture changes. I take this to mean who can still have enough in te tank downthat long stretch.

Bucharest and Tricky Trever have better numbers in this column. Any comments?

Dap