Oaklawn Race 7 - Saturday 4/8
 

Looking around I came across this slugfest at Oaklawn this afternoon. It's race 7 going to post around 5 PM in the East.

Fighters, Earlies, middle movers, Martians :eek:

All are welcome to join in.

The entry and tandem screens

The field

con't

last group

Race 7
 

Hello Rich

You picked a nice full field , good matching to you my friend

My look

OP Race 7 CL 15 N1-7m
non winner of a race in t months

Top 5 TPR Line 1 . 13, 1, 2, 10, 5

Fulcrum POR EPR 95 ( horse 5 )

Horses and notes

1 Creative Art. Sustained Line 1 is a + line
against a 93 POR Line 1 current form cycle

1A. Sharm NF No + lines in current form cycle

2. Rippen Ride Early Line 1 is a + paceline
against a 94.5 POR

3. Meanbone Sustained Line 2 is a + line
Line 1 is excused , This one will have problems against today's fulcrum

4. Chilango. Early Line 1 is a (+) against a 92 POR I will rate off this line
5. Early/EP Line 1 is a + line against a 94 POR
First race in a New form cycle after being claimed This is the fulcrum horse
6. Oh Oz No current form against today's fulcrum
7. Vacanza Sustained No current form against today's fulcrum
8. Greyjoy sustained No current form against today's fulcrum
9. Daftar Sustained Presser Line 2 is a + pace line against a 90.5 POR
10. Rockstar Jam Early Presser Line 1 is a (+)
its the first race after a 310 day layoff against a
94.5 POR
11. Political Justice Early Press Line 2 is + pacelines against a 92 POR I will excuse line 1
too high class
12. Royal Lion Sustained . No current form against today's fulcrum
13. Patriotic American .Presser Line 1 is a + paceline against a 90.5 POR

I will go with horse 1 and 13

Good Skill

Bill

Attachment 43190

op race 7
 

i saw this race as exactly the same as Bill V. Once the scratches came out, then the race changed slightly. My finalists are now 1,2,9, 10,11. I see the race as still running OTE. My choices are now 9. The 9 is an interesting horse. He seems to run his best races sitting 3rd or 4th. That is where he should be today and I look for him to run a big race at a decent price. The only knock I have against the 1 is that he may be too far back. I might use the 1 in exactas with the 9 as a saver bet. I dont think the scratch of the 5 affects the fulcrum as there are other horses which can run very similar fractions.

My main contenders are 1-Creative Art - line 1
2-Rippin Ride - line 2
9- Daftar - line 2
11-Political Science- line 2


Using Energy...and 1-auto adjust...I have 1 and 11.

With the #5 scratched, I think this race is going to run early. It is between the 2 and the 4. The 2 has gotten the lead at the break three times in a row at two different tracks. In his last race, he fought for 4 furlongs.

The 2 is my choice.

The 4 horse Chilango is very interesting.

In his last race he did something he has not done in some time. He was
1st at the break and fought for 2 calls. I do not believe this is a NTL type.
Oaklawn has been a pressers paradise. With that said I have no problem
rating this horse off 3 back. Anywhere near ML is great value.

Good skills,

Paul

)P 7th
 

I have the 1 & 11 as my top two for win.
The 2 & 9 : I would use in the exacta.
Good luck to all.

Rmath

PS; I am not a matcher like you guys but I thought you would not mind
if I played along.

My WAG (wild ass guess) is 11-1-7 in that order.
Mitch44

op 7
 

well, the 9 ran exactly as i thought he would. I thought i was looking good for a 1-9 exacta until the 7 came out of nowhere and the 1 took out half the field in the stretch. Oh well. Thanks Rich for posting this race.

The Martians are coming, the Martians are coming!
 

Wild race and outcome for sure!! The "martian" #7 closes from out of the clouds to nail it at the wire over the #1 who gets DQ'D for doing a Samba in the stretch (costing others including the #9.

Mitch has the 33/1 winner in his top 3 and got dq'd from the exacta (s***) if he bet that it really hurts as the 7-1 was HUGE.

A big, big thank you to everyone for taking the time to chime in and post. I really appreciate it!

Richie

RichieP:

One of my bad habits is if I handicap a race I have to play it. But in chaos or difficult races I'm smart enough to reduce my wager and also in lower payoffs races, fter all why risk a lot for a little gain.

I was playing both Kee. & Aqu. yesterday and was getting a bet in at Aqu.,which was a higher priority and upon completion put in my bet for your race only to get shut out.
It was a tough outcome knowing you had a horse that paid $ 68.60. I'll have the next one.
Mitch44