conflicting reads live race
 

here is race 5 tonight from Evd - 5.5f

ok after following steps outlined in another thread I am now down to 4 horses.

why post this one?

check the reads on the # 9 horse please

2nd raw total energy
1st on early exdc
2nd on late exdc

yet the horse does NOT show on either "paragon".

varie - sustained

here are screen shots beginning with the engen

really gotta love this ****

this race AFTER it runs will answer all kinds of questions ( assuming I have the winner shown :rolleyes: ) . They always do!

Rich

next

next one

ok next

Richie, this is just an observation. If you add F1 and F2 for both the 2 and 9 who has the greater number? If you add F2 and F3 for the same horses who has the greater number? I am not really sure if this is significant or not.

Conversely if you add the 1st and 2nd as well as the 2nd and 3rd in the Exdc Match-Up Screens who comes up lowest? These are supposed to be defiency numbers per fraction. Again not sure if this is significant or not. That F2 for 9 may be the cause of the conflicting readouts. I will very interested in what your observations are after the race.

Richie:

This is a very tough race. 8, 1, and 2 are closely matched early. 2 is the only presser identified in the race. 2 is also the highest total energy horse. If all of the selected pacelines are not abberant then I would look at the race as follows: 8 and 1 look like they will get the lead. 1 looks like it might be able to very slightly dominate 8. 2 should make a move during the 2nd part of the race. 9 should be right behind it. 9 looks like it will hang in the stretch. 9 will only win if the three in front collapse. Not likely. If the paceline for 2 is valid then 2 will win. If not then 1 will win. That is my 2 cents.

Gary

Result
 

all a moot point as the 6 wins at 9/5 I used the last line and projected nowhere for ME

1 runs second also chalk

wanna see the result chart of how the race ran


thanx guys for the feedback!
Rich

pp's for the 6

KUDOS to all three of you,this is what I personally was hoping would happen.Jeff

The horse that won was coming off a 10,000 open claiming race back to a non winners 4 lifetime.Actually that start doesnt look that bad the first 2 horses finished 10 lenghts ahead of the field.Jeff

Hide horse
 

Hi Rich
The 6 is just a pain in the ear hide horse winner
Here is my screen shot using Spec
The winner ranks 5th
I saw nothing in its recent form
Except a clear class advantage
I did a APV/Class which i inserted into the corner
The six has a good advantage. I went down to a resonable( I think)
race 3 line. For sure if you use the race 6 or all the way back
to race A the six will rank better
I also noted on the next screen that like Jeff said The six is dropping from a open $10,000 were it showed good EP in its first race off a Layoff
It like the crowd thought handled these $5000ers easy
My bets if I did this race would have been the 1 and 8
looking back now a 1 6 8 exbox would not have been good
either. It paid $19.00

race 5 horse 6
 

Here is the winner

How I see this race.
If the horse energy expenditure is a result by how fast the horse run, then we can extrapolate FPS from the RAW energy numbers.

1 = TE 164.92 FX 66.34 3F=30.50
2 = TE 166.30 FX 66.74 3F=31.29
8 = TE 165.07 FX 66.68 3F=30.69
9 = TE 165.39 FX 65.62 3F=30.61

100-FX=2F
1 = 100-66.34= 2F=33.66
2 = 100-66.74= 2F=33.26
8 = 100-66.68= 2F=33.32
9 = 100-65.62= 2F=34.38

1F=FX-3F
1 = 66.34-30.50= 1F=35.84
2 = 66.74-31.29= 1F=35.45
8 = 66.68-30.69= 1F=35.99
9 = 65.62-30.61= 1F=35.01

1 = 35.84--33.66--30.50 Energy
2 = 35.45--33.26--31.29
8 = 35.99--33.32--30.69
9 = 35.01--34.38--30.61

1 = 59.10--55.51--50.30 Velocity fps
2 = 58.95--55.31--52.03
8 = 59.40--55.01--50.65
9 = 57.90--56.86--50.62

#9 too far behind at 1F, make a move at 2F, can't sustain his speed to the finish. OUT
If #2 can repeat the 3f of 52.03 is a winner, if not then #8 and #1 will steal the show.
I hope does make sense.
Pino