Gulfstream park 8/22 race 8
 

handicapping GP 8/22 race 8

horse 7 and 9 is MTO enter

what line you use and what you pick

raymond

horse 1-5

horse 6-10

horse 11-12

1 L 3
2 L 1 Unknown Factor, only one turf route and won, B on improvement, could be anything.
3 L 1
4 L 4 Toss non-contender.
5 L 1
6 L 1
7 MTO
8 L 3 Toss non-contender.
9 MTO
10 L 1
11 L 5 Toss better suited to dirt.
12 L 1 Unknown Factor, only 2 starts, won last , B on improvement on 1, could be anything.

contender not in order: 1-2-3-6-10-12

37% chance of shower, will probably stay on. In FL 37 % not great.

Mitch44

Ray, this race was the middle leg of a P-3 that aid41.15.
My final 4 horses were: 5 line1, 4 line 2, 2 line 1; 10 line2.

Richard





























; 4 line

very competitive race, i try to toss out some under class contender
my final 4 contender #2,3,8,10
bet W=8,10 QU=8,10/2,3,8,10
Thanks for all reply
raymond

My final three are the 10, 6, 3 with the 10 strong on the lead and the 3 closing. Good box candidates.

The 1 could pressure the lead on its best day, but does not look like today is it.

all main contenders use line 1

The 3 & & 9 MTO horses have scratched. Turf firm.

Mitch44

My analysis:

1 -- L3 (mar 28)

2 -- L1 (jul 25)

3 -- L1 (jun 18)

4 -- try L1 (jul 31) and L2 (jul 17)

5 -- L1 (jul 10)

6 -- try L1 (aug 7) and L2 (jun 19)

7 -- SCRATCHED

8 -- L1 (jul 31)

9 -- SCRATCHED

10 -- try L1 (aug 7) and L4 (jun 12)

11 -- try L1 (jul 3) and L2 (jun 4)

12 -- L1 (jul 23)

WIN CONTENDERS: 3,10,1, LS 12

BETTING STRATEGY: win bet 12, ex 3/1,6,10,12, ex 1/3,5,6,10,12, ex 10/all

Good luck

Richard

This is another tough race to tread carefully in because a case can be made for several contenders and there are a couple unknown factors thrown in.

Final contenders:
# 1 given a freshening and needing last may run back to to top of 88 or maybe about a 90. Older horse and if won would not be surprised. Competitive and a threat on best.

# 2 Unknown Factor, only one turf route and won, B on improvement, 3 yr. old. Trainer has figured out all the key ingredients, equ., dis., and surface. Could be anything. Upside and a ML of 10-1 , very nice risk reward.

# 6 fits conditions, completive here, proven quality, older horse.

#10 fits conditions, completive here, proven quality, older horse.

# 12 Unknown factor, up and coming 3 yr. old stepping up to logical spot. Improved on turf, route and won last. Only 2 starts, trainer has figured out all the key ingredients, equ., dis., and surface. Could be anything. Upside and a ML of 15-1 , very nice risk reward.

Final order & 5 listed only for Tri. players, is:

10-6-12-2-1 In this order I've taken proven quantity over those that must prove it, a percentage move. I put the 12 over the 2 because of better Tot. Energy and S R is better.

However the 2 may have only won by what it had to in last. Has speed and showed a new dimension in last by rating and coming off the pace, change of running style.

Well I have my final order but haven't decided on a plan of attack as of yet.(bet plan) except for a small Tri. of $. 50 which I can only do after seeing the odds.

Good luck,

Mitch44

Forgot to mention the 3 is owned by Dr Z, William Ziemba, who joined the group at SAR in 2019.

Results:

1-3-6-5-10

My 1-3 ex pays $35 for each $2

Richard