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Friday Nights Race Of The Week - MNR - Race 9
Friday nights 9th Race at MNR would be my choice for this week.
It has a descent field of horses (9) and is at a mile and 70 yards. Please see the Entries below. Good luck to all.:D |
Here's my interpretation of how I think the race will go.
My first choice would be # 9 "Dual Diagnosis" and I will bet her to win. It seems to be the best choice from my match-up analysis. which I have posted below. If I had to pick a second horse it would probably be # 5 "Tall Wakin Cat", but I can say without hesitation that I am not a proponent of 2 horse win betting. My Exactas for this race if I played them and I don't would be as follows: 9 with 5, 6, 8 and 5 with 6, 8, 9. |
Correction
CORRECTION:
I noticed a mistake in my Match-Up spread sheet and did not have time to post a corrected one this morning. So please disregard the one I have posted and I will re-post the the corrected spread sheet this evening along with a track profile for over 600 races of this type going back to January 2002. I am sorry if I've misled anyone. |
I've attached the track profile for the race in question.
It covers over 600 races from January 2002 of races of this type. distance and surface. I've also corrected my Match-Up spreadsheet and have also attached it. My selections remain the same. |
mnr race 9
ok my first pick with aodds98 with I might add no model etc. Soooo ill take a stab here with a one horse bet. Tall Walin cat who at least from the morn line seens to be the chalk. Owns the sc, the ts the tv and the Ls seems to have an adavantage here.
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5 and 8
15 Win 5 10 Win 8 |
Intersting race.
I don't see any horse take the lead in this race except #5. The only question is: can #5 make 4 win in a row? Is a fresh horse with no recent workout. If #1 or #2 can take the lead in a fast 1st. and 2nd. calls and force #5 to press, I think #5 will use too much energy to finish the race. If this the case #6 will win the race, followed by #8 #9. I will look for value. Pino |
To me it looks like the 5 takes this one. The only way he doesn't is if the first and second fraction goes 23 and 47. That might throw him off a bit but I don't think the fractions go that fast here. the 5 should set the pace.
Win bet 5 $20 Charlie |
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Coumpound Ratings
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Fractions
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40% on #8
60% on #5 |
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Using Val 3
win bets # 4 and 9 exacta box 5 with 4 9 Good Skill |
race 9
using both spec(1st) and All-in-one v5.
i will bet the 2 and 4 if odds are 4-1 or better. might take 7/2. do think TALL WALKIN has a good chance. MNR folks might bet her down to what... 9/5, same with 1. Rverge ps booked room for CD/BC day any one going?? -------------------------- i must be going, i know i said i'd stay but, i must be going........... |
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Unfortunately this race got scratched to oblivion.
100% win bet #1 - lone speed stretches, my only concern is this looks like an end of season claim dump in this race after a few minor stakes tries, but with this field of very late horses, All Platinum should have her own way on the lead. 100% exacta bet #1-4 cold. The #4 Unusual Syndrome will complete my exacta ticket. She would have been my choice if the speed was in the field. I wouldn't however be surprised if Stokes, knowing the match-up tries to keep the #1 honest. Rverge, I am staying at the Hilton for Breeders Cup, getting in Friday morning. Attachment 5116 |
EEEKKS! not aa good night at the mount, getting my head handed to me, just one of those 'cards"
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mnr 9
only mnr will scratch 3 on our fri. nite play the weather is good. pass
Rverge |
Sorry folks, but a third of the field scratched. However it was a good race
to watch. A very close finish (nose) with a stewards inquiry. Win (1) $ 4.60 2.80 2.40 Place (4) 2.40 2.20 Show (6) 3.00 Congratulations to Rich Rosa. |
Although my horse was scratched, I did manage to have a good night at the mountain. :D
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Unlike the others who posted, I had the benefit of knowing what the scratches were.
I did like the race and the exacta play even though the field was short. Sometimes we have to play what we are given. |
head bob
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Nice win Rich Rosa
I was left with only one horse ..I was robbed :) |
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