Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Arlington Park Round Table (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=2622)

Houndog 07-13-2007 04:49 PM

Arlington Park Round Table
 
Working the 9th race at AP for Saturday in Syn4. First dilemma is that AP did not have pars for the 8.5 distance. Also noting that AP has switched to polytrack I wanted to use some pacelines for a couple of horses at AP that had good races at this distance.

My basis of comparison was Turfway park because these pars reflect the artificial surface. Comparing the AP lines and one of Dominican's Turfway Park race 3 lines back the times seem close. I plugged in the Turfway Park par for this distance for AP. Whether this works remains to be seen, but sometimes you have to work with what you have. I also worked the race 2 different ways. The first 3 screens will be working the race using the DRF variant.

The next 3 screens would be using the Beyer number for the adjustment. As you will see this does change things.

Houndog 07-13-2007 04:50 PM

Syn4 Screen 1
 
1 Attachment(s)
First screen with DRF Variant.

Houndog 07-13-2007 04:51 PM

Syn4 Screen2
 
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Screen 2 with DRF variant.

Houndog 07-13-2007 04:52 PM

Syn4 Screen 3
 
1 Attachment(s)
Last Screen with DRF variant.

Houndog 07-13-2007 04:53 PM

Syn4 with Beyer Adjustment
 
1 Attachment(s)
Syn4 screen1 with 100% Beyer Adjustment.

Houndog 07-13-2007 04:54 PM

Syn4 Second Screen
 
1 Attachment(s)
Second Screen Using Beyer

Houndog 07-13-2007 04:55 PM

Syn4 Final Screen
 
1 Attachment(s)
Final Screen Using the Beyer Adjustment.

Houndog 07-13-2007 06:29 PM

Round Table ENGEN
 
1 Attachment(s)
Here is the Energy Engen.

Houndog 07-13-2007 06:31 PM

Energy Auto Adjust
 
1 Attachment(s)
Eliminated the bottom 2 TE horses. Here is what I have left.

Houndog 07-13-2007 06:32 PM

Energy UXR
 
1 Attachment(s)
The screen with your UXR's.

Houndog 07-13-2007 06:32 PM

Energy Sort Muv
 
1 Attachment(s)
The Sort with the MUV.

Houndog 07-13-2007 06:33 PM

Final Screen
 
1 Attachment(s)
The Exdc Match-Up Screen.

Houndog 07-16-2007 02:59 PM

Round Table Results
 
1 Attachment(s)
Number 3 was scratched. Eliminating #3 changes the Variegate to sustained. You should get the Exacta with the readouts.

shoeless 07-16-2007 05:48 PM

Houndog,NICE ONE.Jeff


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