Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Forego Stakes at Saratoga (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=2813)

clore1030 08-31-2007 08:42 PM

Forego Stakes at Saratoga
 
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Maybe I'm biased because Forego is my favorite horse of all time, but tomorrow's contest seems to be one of the most interesting heats of the meet. There appears to be some genuine live longshots - especially Midnight Lute, not only because of his BL rank, but also for a 1:22 and change work from the gate recently. He can closely stalk the pace and take this if there are some speedballs going on early.

Like Now hasn't a Grade 1 win, and his Grade 3 win on Aqueduct's Inner Track was against a weaker field, but the numbers look good if he gets loose on the lead and if one isn't fearful of a bounce off a best ever last line.

There's a very possible false favorite in High Finance according to my pace lines, but I'm here to learn so if anyone has some insight into this one, I'm all ears - or eyes as this medium would deem more appropriate.

My pacelines were based on mostly a last race scenario, unless there was a distance or course excuse.

jms62 09-01-2007 06:57 AM

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Forego... Potential for some nice mutuals

admin 09-01-2007 09:17 AM

Forego
 
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I will go with the 4 and 6

Forego 09-01-2007 09:56 AM

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someone called ???

Forego 09-01-2007 09:58 AM

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very competitive group here. i will take win bets on the 4 and 8.

the 10 has dominate early pace advantage according to these #'s.

Forego 09-01-2007 09:58 AM

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last screen

partsnut 09-01-2007 12:44 PM

This was a good choice of a race so I figured I'd give it a shot.:D

I'd go with (7, 10) to win.
and venture a 4 horse exacta box: 7,10,2,6

Hey Forego when did they name this race after you?
At least they should have.:rolleyes:

jms62 09-01-2007 12:48 PM

1,8 to Win for me and 1,8/1,8,4,10,7 and 4,7,8,10/1 Exactas

Zaf 09-01-2007 12:54 PM

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I agree with Bill. The 4 & 6 will be the main horses on my tickets , win , P3 , & tris. Gonna try to score out here.

admin 09-01-2007 01:01 PM

simple simon pure
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Zaf (Post 23385)
I agree with Bill. The 4 & 6 will be the main horses on my tickets , win , P3 , & tris. Gonna try to score out here.

good Skill Zaf

William Lawrence SIMON Varone

Forego 09-01-2007 06:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Forego (Post 23372)
very competitive group here. i will take win bets on the 4 and 8.

the 10 has dominate early pace advantage according to these #'s.

the result:
Saratoga - Race 9
# Win Place Show
8 $7.20 $4.60 $3.70
4 . $8.80 $5.80
7 . . $4.90

Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | ALL
Wager-Type Winning Numbers Paid
$2 Exacta 8-4 $59.00
$1 Trifecta Box $170.75
$2 Trifecta 8-4-7 $341.50

Forego 09-01-2007 06:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by partsnut (Post 23383)
[/B]Hey Forego when did they name this race after you?
At least they should have.:rolleyes:

lol partsnut. hey judging by my picks i had tomorrow's newspaper today. i showed my better half the post and she pushed me for not betting more and/or exactas.

i laughed and said to remember even a stopped clock is right twice a day. she didn't get it. lolol

unbelievable game we play

admin 09-01-2007 07:00 PM

exacta
 
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Jim and forego
and clore
Thank You. You guys are so good
I couldn't pass up your 1 and 8
My first exacta bet in awhile :)

clore1030 09-01-2007 08:24 PM

Thank you for that
 
"Lute" looked magnificent, didn't he? Not until I read the DRF chart for the race did I know he's a son of Real Quiet.

admin 09-01-2007 09:33 PM

Midnight Rider
 
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Clore when you guys picked the 8 I went back for another look
I used line 1 but line 4 works out "real" well

had a feeling the 7 10 early would make it other than early
it was a nice payout

you guys helped me big time

Bill

jms62 09-01-2007 10:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by admin (Post 23405)
Jim and forego
and clore
Thank You. You guys are so good
I couldn't pass up your 1 and 8
My first exacta bet in awhile :)

Congrats...Friends helping Friends.....

Zaf 09-01-2007 10:36 PM

Good Job all ! I needed the #4 to win to hit the Trifecta & hit my win bet, but the #8 was just too good today.


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