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-   -   AQU December 6 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4870)

clore1030 12-06-2008 03:18 PM

AQU December 6
 
What's up with the favorite in the fifth? claimed for 22K a couple of races ago and now running for 10K after a very good effort for twice the tag last out? I'd sooner play the 2 at 57/1 than the favorite.

EDITED TO ADD:
I stayed out of it, so even though the fave won, I didn't lose anything.

jms62 12-06-2008 04:03 PM

xxx

Bill V. 12-06-2008 04:08 PM

neg
 
Hi Clore

I saw that too I figured the 8 would run up there with the 3
and take him out and the 9 or 13 would get it. but not to be


In the 9th at Philly I have the 2 and 8

Good Skill

Bill

clore1030 12-06-2008 04:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V. (Post 44217)
Hi Clore

I saw that too I figured the 8 would run up there with the 3
and take him out and the 9 or 13 would get it. but not to be


In the 9th at Philly I have the 2 and 8

Good Skill

Bill

Bruce Brown took the bait and claimed the 3 from Scott Lake. It remains to be seen if the investment will be worth it.

clore1030 12-06-2008 04:44 PM

Eighth Race:

I had to go with the 7, even though it could get caught in a speed duel. The 1 was the co-choice, but is an underlay to my way of looking at it.

clore1030 12-06-2008 05:09 PM

Ninth race

Split the bet between the 5 and the 2.

jms62 12-06-2008 05:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by clore1030 (Post 44220)
Ninth race

Split the bet between the 5 and the 2.

going with a dime super box 2,4,5,10,11

clore1030 12-06-2008 05:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 44221)
going with a dime super box 2,4,5,10,11

Here comes da judge!
My neighbors must be wondering what all the screaming was about.

jms62 12-06-2008 05:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by clore1030 (Post 44220)
Ninth race

Split the bet between the 5 and the 2.

Nice Job :5: - :2: and 13 to 1 on top...

1st 5 FORGET THE JUDGE $28.40 $10.80 $6.80
2nd 2 GROUND HERO $3.50 $3.10
3rd 9 WESTERN DEED $6.00
4th 7 CLASSIC IMPACT

Other Payouts

$2 EX (5/2) paid $92.00

clore1030 12-06-2008 05:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 44223)
Nice Job :5: - :2: and 13 to 1 on top...

1st 5 FORGET THE JUDGE $28.40 $10.80 $6.80
2nd 2 GROUND HERO $3.50 $3.10
3rd 9 WESTERN DEED $6.00
4th 7 CLASSIC IMPACT

Other Payouts

$2 EX (5/2) paid $92.00

If I played the exacta and the double (I had the eighth also), I'd be much richer. But I find my focus is better if I just play to win as I used to get lost in all the possible combinations when handicapping. I try to keep "coulda, shoulda, woulda" out of my vocabulary. I'm grateful enough to have caught a 28 dollar horse.

Nets 12-06-2008 06:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by clore1030 (Post 44224)
If I played the exacta and the double (I had the eighth also), I'd be much richer. But I find my focus is better if I just play to win as I used to get lost in all the possible combinations when handicapping. I try to keep "coulda, shoulda, woulda" out of my vocabulary. I'm grateful enough to have caught a 28 dollar horse.


Well done. I flinched on the 5 as he seemed to be fading from 3rd back. Yes you would be richer but I find that chasing too many things will only bring long term failure. Stick to what works and like you said, forget the "coulda, shoulda, woulda". At any rate, congrats.

clore1030 12-06-2008 06:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nets (Post 44226)
Well done. I flinched on the 5 as he seemed to be fading from 3rd back. Yes you would be richer but I find that chasing too many things will only bring long term failure. Stick to what works and like you said, forget the "coulda, shoulda, woulda". At any rate, congrats.

Thank you nets. From my own data, I know that I'm best with certain kinds of races, and that in general, I should avoid claimers below 25K and all maiden claimers.

My turf success was spotty until Tim Y touted the Pizzola window which has brought me some tremendous prices, including today's ninth at Aqueduct.

Tim Y 12-06-2008 10:34 PM

TURF horses don't seem to have form cycles like on the dirt. The Pizzolla window pointed that out: use their BEST in the last 10 listed, and to substantiate that line, use their second best TPP as well.

Nets 12-06-2008 11:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tim Y (Post 44234)
TURF horses don't seem to have form cycles like on the dirt. The Pizzolla window pointed that out: use their BEST in the last 10 listed, and to substantiate that line, use their second best TPP as well.

That is true. Don't know why I talked myself out of that. Turf is definitely different form-wise. Consistent thinking on my part is something I am trying to work on, but every now and then I get stupid :eek:


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