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mikesal57 02-08-2009 12:30 PM

Sunday racing feb 8
 
Spot play for me ..

AQU 5TH..

with so many horses off form and the usual 2 or 3 horses that are always bet and loses... I will bet the layoff horses #8

2 good works out of last 4 and runs well off layoff

and at 15-1 and longshot BOCACHICA riding

win/place #8

mike

mikesal57 02-08-2009 12:39 PM

Spot play AQU Race 6


4 "earlies" out of 7 horses...

#2 to win

LOL....3 out of 4 "E"'s are scratched

clore1030 02-08-2009 12:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mikesal57 (Post 48023)
Spot play for me ..

AQU 5TH..

with so many horses off form and the usual 2 or 3 horses that are always bet and loses... I will bet the layoff horses #8

2 good works out of last 4 and runs well off layoff

and at 15-1 and longshot BOCACHICA riding

win/place #8

mike

Not that my recent record qualifies my opinion, but I can see you cashing on the place part of that ticket perhaps, but not the win. Just that his one win showing was in the mud at 20K and recent drops into the present claiming level didn't move him up any.

I ended up pretty much deciding to skip that race, my confidence in any of the entrants is weak at best.

But good luck to you, I hope it plays out well.

clore1030 02-08-2009 01:03 PM

AQU
First race

The current favorite, #2, looks genuine, hard to knock.

But I am curious over his having broken his maiden five races back while carrying 144 pounds.

mikesal57 02-08-2009 01:07 PM

Phil 1st
 
5 Attachment(s)
match up shows fav might get pressure up front

i like the #3

mikesal57 02-08-2009 01:08 PM

rest of field
 
3 Attachment(s)
rest

mikesal57 02-08-2009 01:21 PM

Hi Charles..

we all need some luck lately at AQU..

1ST ...I like the #3 with lack of speed in this race and also he improves with second start off layoffs

mike

mikesal57 02-08-2009 01:28 PM

tried to beat the fav at Phil...1st time he showed he can win from 3rd postion ...aw well...lets try aqu 1 st

Charlie D 02-08-2009 01:30 PM

Mike i'm going #3 should be able to hold em off this time too

clore1030 02-08-2009 01:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mikesal57 (Post 48030)
Hi Charles..

we all need some luck lately at AQU..

1ST ...I like the #3 with lack of speed in this race and also he improves with second start off layoffs

mike

I really needed this one, less for my pocket and more for my psychological well-being.

The horse was much the best, got shut off there in the stretch and had to alter course.

clore1030 02-08-2009 01:53 PM

I'll pass the second at the Big A.

Looking ahead to the third race, while I would normally be hesitant to bet a horse claimed for 25K four back and running for 15K today, I just can't come up with a viable alternative from the 1 horse.

Other than the 4 who looks to be the post time favorite.

But Ramon is on the 1, so given his current streak, he could be favored instead.

Charlie D 02-08-2009 01:55 PM

Aqu 2



#2 and the stretching #5 are two that appeal

Bill V. 02-08-2009 01:56 PM

Moving Furniture
 
advanced betting
Race 6 7 8 Philly Pick 3

4 5 9
3 5 6
1 3 4

Good Skill
Hope you all have great days

Bill

clore1030 02-08-2009 02:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Charlie D (Post 48036)
Aqu 2



#2 and the stretching #5 are two that appeal

$8.20, not bad. Congrats.

Charlie D 02-08-2009 02:19 PM

Aqu 3

i'm thinking #4 to wire, but it seems others are of same mind, making unappealing odds

Pass

Charlie D 02-08-2009 02:43 PM

4 never got a sniff of lead, that was it done for

#1 gets Clore back on track

clore1030 02-08-2009 02:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Charlie D (Post 48041)
4 never got a sniff of lead, that was it done for

#1 gets Clore back on track

No lie, thanks for noticing. Two for two so far today, so I may just bask in it unless something outstanding jumps off my screen.

I'm looking at the 7 in the fifth. But it's a field of cheap claimers, and with Ramon on him (just coincidence), I probably won't get a price on the 7.

There's a couple of severe dropdowns such as the 1A and the 5, and I honestly can't predict the pace here as they are all too inconsistent.

Charlie D 02-08-2009 02:55 PM

Could easily take it if Early energy conserved better, but wouldn't want to take evens on #8 in 4th

One to watch

Charlie D 02-08-2009 03:18 PM

Aqu 5

2 and 3 are my contenders

Looks like it could be Hedge Fund's day today

clore1030 02-08-2009 03:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mikesal57 (Post 48023)
Spot play for me ..

AQU 5TH..

with so many horses off form and the usual 2 or 3 horses that are always bet and loses... I will bet the layoff horses #8

2 good works out of last 4 and runs well off layoff

and at 15-1 and longshot BOCACHICA riding

win/place #8

mike

Hey, ya got it. What a close.

Congrats!

I stayed out of it, glad that I did.

Charlie D 02-08-2009 03:37 PM

very nice pluck Mike

clore1030 02-08-2009 03:44 PM

I can make a case for all but the 4 in the sixth at AQU.

I'll sit back and watch, I'm waiting for the seventh where I've got a vibe for Coaltown Legend.

Charlie D 02-08-2009 03:52 PM

Aqu 6

looks like #1 wires or could it go boing

Charlie D 02-08-2009 04:10 PM

Aqu 6

#2 for me

out gunned in sprints last 3, no good on turf, back to Dirt route

clore1030 02-08-2009 04:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Charlie D (Post 48050)
Aqu 6

#2 for me

out gunned in sprints last 3, no good on turf, back to Dirt route

You mean the 7th, don't you?

I took the 7, just think it could be his day. Had a rough trip last out, but still finished a respectable third.

Charlie D 02-08-2009 04:19 PM

Quote:

You mean the 7th, don't you?
Thats what happens when you type by Laptop screen light Charles :)

clore1030 02-08-2009 04:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Charlie D (Post 48052)
Thats what happens when you type by Laptop screen light Charles :)

I hope you're calling in your bets and not typing them. :)

Got it by DQ, huh? Whatever it takes!

Dunno where Grand Treasure came from - didn't make my final cut.

Charlie D 02-08-2009 04:41 PM

Quote:

Got it by DQ
I'm not moaning Charles :)

Aqu 8

#9 Laysh Laysh Laysh 3-1 or above

clore1030 02-08-2009 04:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Charlie D (Post 48054)
I'm not moaning Charles :)

Aqu 8

#9 Laysh Laysh Laysh 3-1 or above

I had the 1 and 9 tied, I went with the former.

Charlie D 02-08-2009 04:57 PM

A few firsters in last so that me done


Catch yer later Charles - all the best

clore1030 02-08-2009 05:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Charlie D (Post 48056)
A few firsters in last so that me done


Catch yer later Charles - all the best

Yep, I'm done also. See ya next time.

mikesal57 02-09-2009 08:42 AM

HI guys....just saw the race this morn...didnt think he'd close from back there....nice..$20.20 :D

and nice to your hits too...

finally off mon & tues..the crappiest days..but lets see

mike

clore1030 02-09-2009 10:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mikesal57 (Post 48058)
HI guys....just saw the race this morn...didnt think he'd close from back there....nice..$20.20 :D

and nice to your hits too...

finally off mon & tues..the crappiest days..but lets see

mike

2020 describes your prognostication on that one. :)

There will be six straight days of racing at AQU starting Wednesday since next Monday is a holiday.

mikesal57 02-09-2009 12:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by clore1030 (Post 48061)
2020 describes your prognostication on that one. :)

There will be six straight days of racing at AQU starting Wednesday since next Monday is a holiday.


thxs Charles

like u said before AQU has not been good to me also...need to really cut down plays until you or someone else catches some kind of a trend that's winning

mike


p.s. Its not prognostication...its because I bet those others so many times and came up EMPTY...LOL

clore1030 02-09-2009 01:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mikesal57 (Post 48062)
thxs Charles

like u said before AQU has not been good to me also...need to really cut down plays until you or someone else catches some kind of a trend that's winning

mike


p.s. Its not prognostication...its because I bet those others so many times and came up EMPTY...LOL

Some things there are still blowing my mind. Like the seventh race yesterday, where I narrowed the 8 horse field down to 5 contenders. The winner didn't make the final five, but it was disqualified and the horse that was moved up didn't make the cut either. Both had 6s and 7s across the rankings, so it seemed safe to exclude them.

That's been happening a lot since the holiday break, and try as I might in going back to review, i still can't come up with any valid reasons. At each distance, only about half of the winners have come from the top 3 BL horses whereas formerly I was getting between 60-65% of them in that range.


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