Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   Santa Anita full card Friday (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=5161)

RichieP 02-20-2009 09:59 AM

Santa Anita full card Friday
 
Default settings of Spec160 and 50%V.

Pace line selection is best Perceptor ranking (2nd tab on each horses paceline screen shot in last 3 comparable races at todays surface and distance structure.) We will go back 5-6 lines to get them if needed. We will do virtually NO handicapping. Let's see what shakes later on.

I will show these readout screen shots for each race after the horse's pps for the race are posted:

1) Bl/Bl with NO hides

2) Tpr screen after hiding to top 5 total energy and primary line score.

3) Segments screen after hiding to top 5 total energy and primary line score.

4) Bl/Bl screen after hiding to top 5 total energy and primary line score

I wont be able to adjust for late scratches. I haven't looked at a single line/race yet and am going to post the races as I work them now.

RichieP 02-20-2009 10:00 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 1
 
1 Attachment(s)
Race 1 is a maiden claimer with 5 first time starters.

PASS

RichieP 02-20-2009 10:06 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 2
 
5 Attachment(s)
Race 2 at 8.5f on the poly.

Horses pps and line selection

RichieP 02-20-2009 10:08 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 2
 
3 Attachment(s)
Race 2 readouts

RichieP 02-20-2009 10:15 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 3
 
4 Attachment(s)
Race 3 is a msw on the grass. Chaos running through the field quickly as turf,poly sprint lines would be used. Let's play as often there is price with chaos.

here are the pps

RichieP 02-20-2009 10:17 AM

5 Attachment(s)
Race 3 pps con't

RichieP 02-20-2009 10:19 AM

3 Attachment(s)
Race 3 pps cont

RichieP 02-20-2009 10:24 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 3
 
4 Attachment(s)
Readouts for race 3.

Matchup note - #4 Congaree Park is 3 call fighter from last race and looks like MUCH more favorable match today. Long odds on ml and not being picked up too much by computer. 1st time turf today.

RichieP 02-20-2009 10:29 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 4
 
5 Attachment(s)
Race 4 is a claiming race at 6.5f on the poly

pps and line selection

RichieP 02-20-2009 10:31 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 4
 
3 Attachment(s)
cont with pps and lines selected

RichieP 02-20-2009 10:33 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 4
 
4 Attachment(s)
Race 4 readouts.

#3 Idaho Joe appears lone early from positional look.

RichieP 02-20-2009 10:38 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 5
 
5 Attachment(s)
Race 5 is a 7f nw2 lifetime on the poly

pps and lines selected

RichieP 02-20-2009 10:40 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 5
 
4 Attachment(s)
Race 5 pps and line selected con't

RichieP 02-20-2009 10:42 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 5
 
4 Attachment(s)
Race 5 readouts:

RichieP 02-20-2009 10:46 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 6
 
1 Attachment(s)
Race 6 is a msw going on the 6.5f downhill over hill and dale turf course!

6 first time starters.

PASS

RichieP 02-20-2009 10:50 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 7
 
5 Attachment(s)
Race 7 goes at 5.5f on the poly

pps and lines selected

RichieP 02-20-2009 10:53 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 7
 
3 Attachment(s)
Race 7 pps cont

RichieP 02-20-2009 10:57 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 7
 
4 Attachment(s)
Race 7 readouts.

LOOK at the name of the horse ranked THIRD on Bl/Bl.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pXgljH9IhO8

RichieP 02-20-2009 11:03 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 8
 
5 Attachment(s)
Last race on the card is a mdn claimer going 5.5 on the poly

pps and lines selected

RichieP 02-20-2009 11:05 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 8
 
5 Attachment(s)
Race 8 pps cont

RichieP 02-20-2009 11:06 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 8
 
3 Attachment(s)
pps cont for race 8

RichieP 02-20-2009 11:09 AM

Santa Anita 2/20 Race 8
 
4 Attachment(s)
Readouts for Race 8

RichieP 02-20-2009 11:10 AM

That's all folks!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCGvM9-GXzg

mikesal57 02-20-2009 11:24 AM

Thxs alot Richie for doing this...I know its hard work and time consuming doing all this..If you can in the future, can u put up the original screen with your selected pacelines so that the matchers here can work the race..

thxs again Mike

gfnut 02-20-2009 04:17 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Hi Rich, I live in So. Cal and play the race tracks down here when I get a chance. I find I get better results with the races that are on synthetic if I use the Spec 160 and 100%v. The Pro Ride at SA is different than at Hollywood, so I like to use past races from the same track than I am playing if at all possible. If they like the Pro Ride they like it and if they don"t I don't go back and look for a better race from another track. Go back and check your past races you have done at SA and see if the results are any different. I did that Magna race last week on the 14th and this what I came up with. I thought I would give you some other things to ckeck out.

Ted Craven 02-24-2009 10:03 AM

Rich,

Tough crowd (tough day). 3 races out of 6 from top 2 BL (after hiding unbettable favourite in 7th), and not great odds on those. If you had to win one on the day, your call in the 7th was a smile (In God's Hands by a nose :))

Thanks for the workups.

Ted


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