Pace and Cap  - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up

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-   -   3/22 (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=5414)

clavezza 03-22-2009 11:13 AM

3/22
 
I am going to be playing Philly, Tampa, Aqueduct, Oaklawn Park, Santa Anita,

Philly Race 1

2,3,7,8 Exacta Box

JLG 03-22-2009 11:35 AM

Been playing Tampa a few times this week, and I notice that their exotics pay pretty amazing. Even with favorites coming in front. Good Tri's and Supers. Most likely cause they have some pretty big fields compared to other tracks like AQU.

Anyone notice this?

mikesal57 03-22-2009 11:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JLG (Post 50977)
Been playing Tampa a few times this week, and I notice that their exotics pay pretty amazing. Even with favorites coming in front. Good Tri's and Supers. Most likely cause they have some pretty big fields compared to other tracks like AQU.

Anyone notice this?

been there for a while...but some people are stubborn and keep playing AQU

clavezza 03-22-2009 11:44 AM

Philly Race 2

Like the 1,2,6,9 exacta Box

mikesal57 03-22-2009 11:45 AM

PHIL 2nd...lets try the 2 w/p

JLG 03-22-2009 11:47 AM

Don't think AQU is bad, just some really small fields and small prices.

Taking the day off today from handicapping :) gl to everyone.

mikesal57 03-22-2009 11:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JLG (Post 50982)
Don't think AQU is bad, just some really small fields and small prices.

Taking the day off today from handicapping :) gl to everyone.

enjoy your day!!

mikesal57 03-22-2009 11:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mikesal57 (Post 50981)
PHIL 2nd...lets try the 2 w/p

2 placed...#9.20


damn...these were the 2 horses I considered..:(

mikesal57 03-22-2009 12:08 PM

wow..tons of speed in PHIL 3rd....

#1 is best closer...w/p

mike

Bill V. 03-22-2009 12:10 PM

Philly
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mikesal57 (Post 50986)
2 placed...#9.20


damn...these were the 2 horses I considered..:(


Hello Everyone

Birthday boy Dad and I are at the Toms River OTB
Looking at Phily and dad is looking at AQU

Nice work Mike with the near 10 buck place price :cool:

I think the 7 is tough here in race 3 at PHA

mikesal57 03-22-2009 12:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V. (Post 50990)
Hello Everyone

Birthday boy Dad and I are at the Toms River OTB
Looking at Phily and dad is looking at AQU

Nice work Mike with the near 10 buck place price :cool:

I think the 7 is tough here in race 3 at PHA


Hi Guys...

will the 7 be in the mix up front?...i hope so ;)

mikesal57 03-22-2009 12:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V. (Post 50990)
Hello Everyone



I think the 7 is tough here in race 3 at PHA

nice Bill..:)

mikesal57 03-22-2009 12:29 PM

last race today..

tampa 4th...w/p #10

Bill V. 03-22-2009 12:31 PM

Gs
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mikesal57 (Post 50991)
Hi Guys...

will the 7 be in the mix up front?...i hope so ;)

Mike he ran like a champ.....

GS
at Tampa

mikesal57 03-22-2009 01:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mikesal57 (Post 50996)
last race today..

tampa 4th...w/p #10

I JUST LOVE THESE "LAST RACE TODAY" ...YESSS...lol


#10...$20.60...$9.40

whew...inquiry scare :p

alydar_ David 03-22-2009 01:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mikesal57 (Post 50999)
I JUST LOVE THESE "LAST RACE TODAY" ...YESSS...lol


#10...$20.60...$9.40

whew...inquiry scare :p

Way to go, Mike!

mikesal57 03-22-2009 01:05 PM

thxs AD..

good luck rest of the day guys
work calls...:mad:

mike

alydar_ David 03-22-2009 01:18 PM

Jammed with a lot of tracks (and I didn't do my homework), but here are my Fair Odds for some races today. Note, this may look scientific but in fact it's highly subjective. For example, it's possible that a horse other than the two I list for TAM will win the race. Hehe.

TAM 6th:
#6 2.9 MLO 3-1
#8 5.9 MLO 10-1

TP 7th:
#5 1.4 MLO 1-1
#2 2.9 MLO 4-1

HAW 7th:
#1 2.2 MLO 7/2
#5 3.7 MLO 5/2
#4 5.7 MLO 5-1

OP 9th:
#1 2.0 MLO 4-1
#5 2.6 MLO 5/2
#4 3.7 MLO 3-1
#2 4.8 MLO 2-1

clore1030 03-22-2009 01:48 PM

AQU
Fifth race

Terrible field really, but I'll take a chance on the 8 horse at 9/1.

Bill V. 03-22-2009 02:31 PM

12
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by alydar_David (Post 51000)
Way to go, Mike!

Mike I lost my connection at the OTB
home now for Dads party

Nice work on the 10 at Tampa
It was cool cause I had the 12 WP ans I don't mnd running second
nice.

Bill

mikesal57 03-23-2009 07:54 AM

Hey Bill..

heres a little incite on how i picked this horse..

1) no software used....been capping via Match -Up lately (Richie :) )

2) throw out non-contenders..narrow field down

3) got down to 3 horses...1-2-10

4) used other handicapping skills to get 10...
...even though the 10 lost via tandem to the 1-2, this race the 1-2 was on the inside part of the track which has been horrible and the 10 was outside.The 10's last 2 races was on post #1. Also this was the 10's 4th race with new trainer and it looked like he was going all out to win...new jockey and blinkers off for this race.

trainer intent does help

the rest was history :D


mike


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